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Big Banks Poised to Capitalize on Fixed-Income Trading Surge
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 16:46
Core Insights - The interest-rate markets are experiencing increased trading activities, with expectations for continued opportunities into 2026 due to macroeconomic factors [1] - Major Wall Street banks like JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Goldman Sachs are projected to see rising fixed-income trading revenues in the upcoming quarters [2] - Divergent interest rate policies among global central banks are prompting investors to rebalance their portfolios, leading to heightened trading activity [4][5] Company Performance - For the nine months ending September 30, 2025, JPMorgan's fixed-income market revenues rose 14% year-over-year to $17.2 billion [3] - Bank of America reported a 9.6% year-over-year increase in its fixed-income, currencies, and commodities trading revenues [3] - Goldman Sachs experienced an 8% year-over-year increase in its fixed-income trading revenues [3] Market Dynamics - Rising fiscal deficits are leading governments to issue more bonds, increasing trading volumes in the bond market [7] - A steepening yield curve, where long-term interest rates rise faster than short-term rates, is driving various trading behaviors such as hedging and speculation [8] - The increase in fixed-income trading activities is expected to benefit major dealers like Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Bank of America [6]