Core Insights - The earnings season for Q4 2025 is highlighted by the performance of Mastercard (MA) and Visa (V), both of which have underperformed relative to the S&P 500 over the last three months [1] - Sales and EPS expectations for Visa are projected at 14% EPS growth and 12% higher sales, while Mastercard is expected to see 16% EPS growth and 10% higher sales [1] Quarterly Expectations - Visa's EPS growth is expected to be 14% with sales increasing by 12% [1] - Mastercard is anticipated to achieve 16% EPS growth alongside a 10% rise in sales [1] Growth Rates - The growth rates for both companies are commendable given their mature status, indicating underlying consumer strength [2] Valuation Picture - MA shares are trading at a 27.2X forward 12-month earnings multiple, while Visa trades at 24.4X, both below their five-year medians and highs [3] - The PEG ratios for both companies are also below five-year medians and not near five-year highs [3] Consumer Strength - The expected growth for both companies is driven by continued consumer strength and a resilient U.S. economy, reflected in higher volumes across key segments [4] Comparative Attractiveness - Revisions for Mastercard are more bullish compared to Visa, although both stocks have shown similar performance over the past five years, each gaining approximately 70% [5] - The favorable revisions trend for Mastercard provides it with a slight edge over Visa [5] Historical Valuation - Both stocks are considered cheap on a historical basis, with MA shares trading at a premium due to stronger forecasted EPS growth [6] - Guidance will be crucial for future decisions, as positive commentary could enhance EPS and sales outlooks for both companies [6]