Workflow
Friend shoring
icon
Search documents
Apple's highest-end iPhone could see $350 price hike in U.S. on Trump tariffs, analyst predicts
CNBC· 2025-04-07 19:27
Core Viewpoint - The implementation of President Trump's reciprocal tariffs is expected to significantly increase the retail prices of Apple's iPhone models, particularly the iPhone 16 Pro Max, which could see a price hike of up to $350 in the U.S. market, raising concerns about consumer purchasing power and Apple's market valuation [1][3]. Price Impact - The iPhone 16 Pro Max currently retails for $1,199, and UBS analysts predict a nearly 30% price increase for units manufactured in China [2]. - The iPhone 16 Pro, priced at $999, may experience a smaller price increase of $120 if produced in India [2]. Market Reaction - Apple's shares have dropped 20% over the last three trading days, resulting in a loss of over $675 billion in market capitalization due to fears surrounding the impact of the tariffs on pricing and consumer demand [3]. Cost Absorption and Production Challenges - Analysts from Morgan Stanley estimate that Apple could absorb additional tariff costs of approximately $34 billion annually, but the diversification of production to other countries may not provide the expected flexibility due to potential tariffs on those locations as well [7]. - UBS analysts highlighted uncertainty regarding how increased costs will be shared with suppliers and the extent to which these costs can be passed on to consumers [4]. Global Pricing Strategy - JPMorgan Chase analysts predict a potential global price increase of 6% for Apple products to offset U.S. tariffs, while Barclays analysts suggest that without price adjustments, Apple could face a 15% reduction in earnings per share [6]. - Morgan Stanley estimates that Apple may raise prices across its product lines in the U.S. by 17% to 18% following the tariff announcement [8]. Production Location Considerations - Apple, heavily reliant on manufacturing in China, faces significant exposure to trade tensions, with a potential incoming tariff rate of 54% on products manufactured there [5]. - The feasibility of relocating iPhone production to the U.S. is deemed nearly impossible by supply chain experts, with predictions that such a move could result in an iPhone costing as much as $3,500 [6].