GST rate rationalization

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客户关注焦点 - 中国市场On Clients’ Minds - Asia
2025-08-26 13:23
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - **Xiaomi Corporation** [5] - **Cochlear Limited** [7] - **Amcor Limited** [8] - **JD Health** [13] - **Bharti Airtel** [14] - **GDS Holdings Ltd** [15] - **Seek Limited** [11] - **oOh!media Ltd** [12] - **DigiCo Infrastructure REIT** [10] Core Insights and Arguments - **Xiaomi Corporation** reported a 2Q revenue growth of 30% YoY, with EBIT and adjusted net profit growing by 54% and 75% respectively. Revenue exceeded expectations by 2% and 1%, while EBIT fell short by 14% due to higher operating expenses. Smartphone gross margin was at 11.5%, below expectations, while EV gross margin was at 26%, exceeding expectations due to higher average selling prices. AIoT segment grew by 45% YoY, indicating strong ecosystem progress [5][5][5] - **Cochlear Limited** is projected to see a 16% compound annual growth in CI volume for FY26E, driven by new implants and updated processors. The company is ahead of conservative guidance, indicating strong long-term profitability potential [7][7][7] - **Amcor Limited** faced a challenging 4Q25 with a 1.7% decline in volumes, particularly in the US market. The company noted that consumer behavior is shifting towards value-seeking, which may delay volume recovery. Guidance appears conservative, reflecting only minor synergies [8][8][8] - **JD Health** exceeded expectations due to a stronger performance in its branded drug business and disciplined investments in O2O and AI. The company experienced notable gross margin expansion and raised its price target to HK$88, maintaining its position as a top pick [13][13][13] - **Bharti Airtel** implemented tariff adjustments aimed at increasing data usage, which could lead to a 4-8% improvement in average revenue per user (ARPU). The company is viewed positively for its focus on subscriber monetization [14][14][14] - **GDS Holdings Ltd** reported a 12.4% revenue growth and an 11.2% EBITDA growth in 2Q25, with strong demand in China. The company is on track to meet its international power commitments ahead of schedule [15][15][15] - **Seek Limited** upgraded to a Buy rating due to expected margin expansion in 2H25 and strong yield growth despite volume declines. The macro environment is stabilizing, and the valuation is considered reasonable [11][11][11] - **oOh!media Ltd** delivered an in-line 1H25 result but had disappointing 3Q pacings. However, expectations for 4Q revenue growth are optimistic, and new contracts are expected to offset losses [12][12][12] - **DigiCo Infrastructure REIT** expressed concerns about the outlook for Australian data centers, highlighting risks of customer churn and sustainability of high interconnection revenue [10][10][10] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The **India Strategy** indicates a potential GST rate rationalization expected in 4QCY25, with significant savings on GST compensation providing fiscal space for rate adjustments [3][3][3] - **China Economics** suggests that liquidity factors will be crucial for market performance in 3Q25, with a potential shift back to high-dividend stocks if liquidity tightens [4][4][4] - The **US Insights** report indicates resilience in the US economy, with a significant percentage of companies beating earnings expectations, particularly in AI and financial sectors [18][18][18] - The **Indonesia Strategy** outlines a proposed reduction in fiscal deficit and optimistic revenue targets to support government spending, with GDP growth expectations set higher for 2026 [17][17][17]