Core Insights - American International Group, Inc. (AIG) is a global insurance company providing various financial services and has outperformed the industry average with an 8.4% increase year-to-date compared to 7.1% [1] Company Overview - AIG is headquartered in New York with a market capitalization of $43.4 billion and operates in three segments: North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal [2] - The company's forward P/E ratio stands at 10.73X, higher than the industry average of 9X, indicating growing investor confidence [2] - AIG currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) due to solid growth prospects [2] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AIG's 2025 earnings is $6.34 per share, reflecting a 28.1% year-over-year increase [3] - Revenue estimates for 2025 are pegged at $27.6 billion, with AIG beating earnings estimates in the past four quarters, averaging a surprise of 9.5% [3] Growth Drivers - AIG's revenue growth is driven by increased net premium written (NPW), high retention rates, and new business generation [4] - NPW in the North America Commercial segment rose by 6.7% year-over-year, while the International Commercial segment saw a 3.1% increase in the first half of 2025 [4] - Tata AIG, a high-growth business, recorded a compounded annual growth rate of 20% from 2020 to 2025, with expectations to maintain this growth through 2030 [5] Strategic Initiatives - AIG plans to launch underwriter assistance for Lexington Middle Market and Property & Casualty businesses in Q3 2025, with a broader rollout in 2026 [6] - The company is scaling Gen AI across underwriting and developing AIG claims assistance [6] Financial Performance - AIG's expense ratio is improving due to changes in business mix, expense discipline, and an enhanced premium base, leading to operational efficiency [7] - Total benefits, losses, and expenses decreased by 2.4% year-over-year in the first half of 2025, attributed to lower general operating and other expenses [7] Shareholder Value - AIG has demonstrated robust cash generation, rewarding shareholders with $4 billion in share buybacks and $488 million in dividends in the first half of 2025 [8] - The company repurchased shares worth $467 million from July 1 to August 1, 2025, with a total debt to capital ratio of 18.2%, below the industry average of 34.2% [8] Challenges - AIG faces a deteriorating combined ratio across its business lines, with year-over-year deterioration of 70 bps, 100 bps, and 430 bps in North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal segments, respectively [11] - Catastrophe losses have impacted underwriting margins, with losses of $1.1 billion in 2023, increasing by 9.4% in 2024 and 59.4% in the first half of 2025 [12] - AIG's return on equity (ROE) stands at 7.9%, lower than the industry average of 14.8%, indicating relative inefficiency in utilizing shareholder funds [12]