Global Energy Reconfiguration
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普京预测实现!俄罗斯能源寻得新客户,欧洲通胀高涨自食其果
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 04:08
Core Insights - The global energy landscape is undergoing a significant transformation, with Russia finding new buyers for its energy resources while Europe faces high inflation as a consequence of its energy policies [1][3]. Group 1: Energy Market Dynamics - Russia's natural gas consumption is steadily increasing in the Asia-Pacific region, the Middle East, and Latin America, as President Putin stated at the "Russian Energy Week" forum [3][8]. - Despite initial declines, Russian natural gas exports are now on the rise, supported by a vast gas transmission network of approximately 100,000 kilometers laid over the past five years [9][8]. - The European Union is set to ban all new contracts and spot trading of Russian natural gas by the end of 2025, with a complete termination of existing long-term contracts by the end of 2027 [13][22]. Group 2: Challenges in Energy Transition - The energy relationship is being reshaped due to the rise of new economic centers and the impact of Western sanctions, which have led to industrial decline and increased prices in Europe [5][6]. - Renewable energy sources like solar and wind are not immediate substitutes for natural gas, as they are intermittent and cannot fully meet industrial and peak power demands [15][16]. - The EU's energy transition appears to be progressing, with a record 56 GW of new solar capacity added in 2023, but the reliance on natural gas remains critical for the transition [14][17]. Group 3: Russia's Strategic Shift - Russia is pivoting its energy exports towards Asia and other regions, effectively opening new markets as Europe closes its doors [7][12]. - The country aims to establish "comprehensive energy sovereignty," transitioning from being merely a resource exporter to a leader in energy technology and production [26][29]. - Russia's nuclear technology dominates the global market, accounting for nearly 90% of the nuclear power plant construction market, with plans to deepen cooperation with Global South countries through BRICS [11][30]. Group 4: European Energy Dependency - Despite efforts to reduce reliance on Russian energy, European countries still depend on Russian energy for about one-third of their needs, while the shift to U.S. LNG introduces new risks due to higher prices and political influences [31][22]. - The ongoing energy crisis in Europe highlights the challenges of transitioning away from Russian energy while managing the costs and logistics of alternative sources [24][22].