Global Order Transition - The world is in a great transition to a multipolar world, a post-American order [1] - The transition will be messy and unpredictable as America steps back from its role as global insurer [2] - The old rules do not apply anymore, but the new ones have not been written, requiring actions to tackle global problems and build new trade connections [3][4] - Singapore is keen to work with like-minded countries to lay the foundations of the new multilateral architecture [4][6] - Multipolarity itself does not provide a stable framework, and the world should avoid ending up in exclusionary blocks and spheres of influence [11][12] ASEAN and Regional Dynamics - ASEAN has maintained relative peace and avoided major conflicts in Southeast Asia and is indispensable [14][15] - There are plans to accelerate ASEAN integration to become a more attractive and competitive single market [16] - The actions of tariffs have impacted America's standing in Southeast Asia, though America remains the largest investor in the region [17] - All Southeast Asian countries want to maintain good links with America [18] US-China Relations - The US and China relationship is the most consequential and dangerous fault line in international relations [30] - Both countries are looking at potential choke points to use as leverage, leading to a dynamic of mutually assured destruction [30][31] - The world must realize that China will not converge with Western norms and has become a risen power [38][39] - Singapore needs to work with like-minded countries to preserve and reinforce multilateral frameworks [42] Trade and Investment - Singapore is determined to maintain the integrity of its business environment and will not tolerate businesses violating its laws [23][24] - Trade flows are being reconfigured into new patterns, and Singapore is determined to remain at the center of these global patterns [22] - Singapore remains invested in American companies due to leading-edge technologies and dynamism, but continues to look for opportunities around the world [49] - Singapore sees strategic opportunities with Europe and is keen to forge closer links [50][53]

Over the past decade the global order has been upended by populists, authoritarians and war. Yet the economy is powering on, unfazed. The trouble is that threats are now mounting https://t.co/AvcR1nNfvN ...

Economic Cycles - Monetary, domestic, political, and social orders experience cyclical breakdowns and renewals [1] - These cycles involve periods of trauma, credit building, and prosperity, often following wars or crises [2] - A combination of monetary order breakdowns, debt crises (like 2008), and internal political dynamics can lead to serious consequences [3] Historical Context - The second industrial revolution and the panic of 1907 exemplify historical cycles [2] - 1945 marked the beginning of a new monetary order [1] Investment Strategy - Considering these issues simultaneously can provide insights into the current economic standing [4]