Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the global shipping industry Core Insights - Capacity growth in the global shipping industry is projected at +8% year-over-year in June, a decrease from +10% in May [3] - Air freight rates have shown a growth of +2% year-over-year in April, down from +4% in March [1] - The overall number of scheduled sailings has increased by approximately +11% year-over-year [3] - The idling rate of vessels has decreased to 4.0% by TEU, compared to 4.5% the previous week, aligning with the ten-year average [3] - Schedule reliability improved to 57.5% in March, up from 54.5% in the previous month [3] Summary by Sections Capacity and Sailings - Capacity growth into the US is +4%, while growth into Europe is +10% [3] - Cancelled sailings decreased to 8.0% this week from 9.8% last week, which is higher than the previous year's level of 5.5% [3] Congestion and Reliability - Global congestion has decreased, with a seven-day moving average at 9.59 million TEU, down from 9.69 million TEU last week [4] - Congestion at the US West Coast decreased to 0.56 million TEU, while the US East Coast saw an increase to 0.72 million TEU [4] Market Dynamics - The China-US shipping lane experienced a volume drop of 30%-40% in April [8] - Shippers are currently in a "wait and see" mode, relying heavily on existing inventories across Canada, Mexico, and the US [8] - There is a significant impact expected on goods with no alternative to Chinese supply, with US consumers likely to absorb inflation if the situation does not resolve by summer [8] - If normalization occurs, demand growth is expected to catch up according to Maersk [8]