Gold Price Forecast

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Gold Price Forecast – Fed Easing Sets Stage for Gold to Surpass $4,000 by Year-End
FX Empire· 2025-09-19 16:17
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Gold momentum continues, Deutsche Bank eyes $4,000 next year
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-09-17 17:13
Gold Market Outlook - Deutsche Bank has revised its gold price forecast to an average of $4,000 per ounce for next year, up from its previous target of $3,700, with silver expected to reach $45 from $40 [1] - The bullish outlook is supported by anticipated further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could weaken the dollar and drive gold prices higher [2][5] - Central bank demand for gold is currently at double the pace seen in the decade leading up to 2021, with significant contributions from China [2][3] Demand and Supply Dynamics - Deutsche Bank estimates gold demand could reach 900 tons in 2026, exceeding trend levels, which has created a premium above fair value models [3] - Gold recycling is running about 4% lower than expected this year, contributing to upward price pressure due to supply constraints [3] - Positioning indicators show that exchange-traded funds hold about 17 million ounces less than their 2020 peak, indicating room for growth in gold investments [4] Market Challenges - The strong performance of equities, with Deutsche's S&P 500 target raised to 7,000, could divert capital away from gold [4][5] - Seasonal patterns indicate that the fourth quarter has historically been the weakest for gold prices [5] - If the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates through 2026, it could diminish some of the support for gold prices [5] Silver Market Insights - Silver is expected to follow gold's upward trend, despite being in its fifth consecutive year of physical deficit [6] - Rising inventories on the Comex exchange may be linked to the U.S. classification of silver as a critical mineral, impacting supply dynamics [6] - Deutsche Bank's forecast assumes continued strong official demand for silver, which could allow it to track gold prices higher [7] Company Highlights - Arizona Gold & Silver Inc reported high-grade gold intercepts at the Philadelphia Project, with results showing 9.04 grams per ton gold over 20.43 meters [8] - G Mining Ventures Corp is advancing multiple gold projects, including significant exploration results from Oko West in Guyana [9] - Northern Superior Resources Inc has expanded its footprint in Quebec's Chibougamau Gold Camp, acquiring new properties [10] - Sonoro Gold Corp is in the final permitting stage for its Cerro Caliche gold project in Mexico, having closed a private placement for C$2 million [11] - Endeavour Mining PLC is on track to meet its production targets, reporting 647,000 ounces of gold in the first half of 2025 [12] - Thor Explorations Ltd has secured full ownership of the Douta gold project in Senegal [13] - TNR Gold Corp offers exposure to gold through its 90% stake in the Shotgun Gold project in Alaska [14] - U.S. Global Investors provides exposure to gold equities through its GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners ETF [15]