Gold Standard
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X @Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph· 2025-11-17 15:07
Tokenizing the Gold Standard: DAT Evolution Continues #CHAINREACTION https://t.co/pA2gCzMris ...
The Time the United States Ran Out of Money
Principles by Ray Dalio· 2025-11-11 20:06
Historical Context & Monetary Policy Shift - In 1971, the US defaulted on its debts due to insufficient gold reserves to back its paper currency [1][2][3] - President Nixon suspended the convertibility of the dollar into gold to defend the dollar against speculators [5] - Breaking the link to gold allowed the US to print more money, leading to a devaluation of the dollar [9] - A similar event occurred in 1933 under President Roosevelt, who also broke the link between paper dollars and gold [7][8] Market Reaction & Economic Impact - Contrary to expectations, the stock market rose nearly 25% after the dollar devaluation in 1971 [6] - The strength of a nation's currency is based on the strength of that nation's economy [4]
Luke Gromen: Why Currency Debasement is Inevitable
Bankless· 2025-11-08 17:47
Monetary Policy & Market Impact - The market's current operating principle is likened to the 1970s, but the Fed raising rates to 6% today would devastate the stock market, housing market, and Treasury market [1] - Empirical evidence suggests Treasury market dysfunction has been observed multiple times before reaching 5% in the last 5 years [2] Debasement & Investment Strategy - The debasement trade is considered a secular trend rather than a temporary event, implying a long-term perspective [3] - The recommended investment strategy is to buy dips rather than sell rallies, indicating a bullish outlook [3] - While 20-30% corrections are possible, they do not signal the end of the market [2] Currency & Debt - The current situation is characterized as a currency issue stemming from choices made over the last 30 years with borrowed money [3]
Detease: Buy “Gold Scripts” because of “Trump’s $3.9 Trillion Gold Shock… Coming as early as January 19th… “
Stockgumshoe· 2025-11-03 16:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential for a significant increase in gold prices, with predictions that gold could reach $15,000 per ounce due to various economic and geopolitical factors, including a possible monetary reset on January 19, 2026 [2][19]. Economic Context - The U.S. national debt has reached an unsustainable $37 trillion, with $20 trillion maturing in the next decade at higher interest rates, creating pressure on the economy and potentially driving gold prices higher [2][3]. - The U.S. government holds 8,133 tons of gold, currently valued at $42.22 per ounce, which could be revalued to $15,000 per ounce, creating $3.9 trillion in assets to help manage the debt [4][5]. Gold Price Predictions - Analysts predict that gold could reach $15,000 to $20,000 per ounce as a response to increasing debt and geopolitical tensions, with some speculating even higher prices up to $40,000 [16][18]. - The potential for a new Bretton Woods agreement could serve as a catalyst for this price surge, with gold being central to the monetary reset [19]. Investment Opportunities - The article highlights "Gold Scripts," which are contracts that allow companies to purchase gold at a fixed price, potentially leading to massive profit margins if gold prices soar [20][25]. - Companies holding Gold Scripts could see profit margins increase by 2,333% if gold is revalued to $15,000 per ounce, with stock prices expected to rise dramatically [20][21]. Company Spotlight: Empress Royalty - Empress Royalty, a small gold royalty company, is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity, trading at under $1 with the potential to rise significantly if gold prices increase [27][30]. - The company has a market cap of approximately $75 million and generated $2.8 million in cash flow from operations last quarter, indicating strong financial performance [34][35]. - Empress Royalty has contracts on multiple mines, which could lead to substantial revenue growth if gold prices remain high [32][39].
Billionaires Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio Are Completely Split on Gold. Who's Right?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-02 09:07
Core Viewpoint - Gold has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025, rising by 48% compared to the S&P 500's 17% increase, leading to contrasting opinions from prominent investors Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio regarding its value as an investment asset [2][15]. Investment Perspectives - Warren Buffett views gold as an "unproductive" asset, emphasizing its lack of utility and inability to generate revenue or earnings over time [2][4][5]. - Buffett argues that the total value of all above-ground gold is approximately $28 trillion, which could alternatively purchase the world's three largest companies (Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple) multiple times [3][4]. - Ray Dalio, in contrast, advocates for gold as a crucial asset for investors, particularly in light of rising national debt and inflation concerns, suggesting that investors should consider allocating up to 15% of their portfolios to gold [7][12]. Economic Context - The U.S. national debt has surpassed $38 trillion, with a budget deficit of $1.8 trillion for fiscal 2025, raising concerns about the sustainability of current fiscal policies [8][10]. - Dalio draws parallels between the current economic climate and the 1970s, when inflation and government spending led to a loss of confidence in paper currency, thus increasing the appeal of gold as a store of value [9][10]. Investment Strategy - While gold's recent performance is exceptional, its long-term compound annual return of 7.96% over the past 30 years is lower than the S&P 500's 10.6% return, suggesting that gold may not be the superior investment in a stable economic environment [15]. - In the event of a fiscal crisis, gold may attract significant investment inflows, making it a potentially valuable asset for risk management [16][17].
Returning To A Gold Standard Has Been Done Before
Forbes· 2025-10-27 10:50
Core Argument - The article argues that returning to a gold standard can lead to significant economic growth, as evidenced by historical precedents in the United States [2][12]. Historical Context - The United States returned to the gold standard in 1879 after abandoning it in 1861, resulting in the greatest era of economic growth in the nation's history during the 1870s and 1880s [2][4]. - The government prepared for this transition by cutting tax rates and reducing spending, which contributed to a thriving economy [4][5]. Economic Formula - The article presents a formula for successfully returning to a gold standard: cut tax rates or eliminate them entirely, which would increase demand for currency and the underlying asset (gold) [5][6]. - Historical examples, such as the 1920s, demonstrate that cutting tax rates while reconnecting currency to gold can lead to legendary economic growth [8][9]. Lessons from the 1930s - The 1930s saw a failure to maintain the gold standard due to high tax rates and the demonetization of gold, leading to the Great Depression [11]. - The article emphasizes the importance of cutting tax rates to maintain a gold standard and avoid economic downturns [11][12].
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-10-17 12:20
Economic History - The gold standard before World War I prevented debt inflation [1] - The report highlights changes since the gold standard era [1]
X @Token Terminal 📊
Token Terminal 📊· 2025-08-23 17:49
Financial Innovation & Market Transformation - JPMorgan is evolving into a tech stock [1] - Fundstrat highlights the potential rebirth of Wall Street [1] - The end of the gold standard in 1971 led to a boom in financial innovation [1] - Crypto and stablecoins may remove constraints of legacy rails, potentially leading to another boom in financial innovation around 2025 [1]
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-08-23 15:35
U_S_ Gold Reserves & Valuation - U_S_ holds 261_5 million ounces of gold, officially valued at $42_22/oz, totaling $11 billion [1] - Market value of U_S_ gold reserves is approximately $867 billion at $3,300/oz, creating an $856 billion shadow reserve [1] - Revaluing gold could strengthen the balance sheet but weaken the dollar [2][4] Potential Impact of Gold Revaluation - Revaluation acts as stealth QE, providing liquidity without printing money [2] - At $5,000/oz, U_S_ gold reserves would equal $1_3 trillion [4] - Government benefits from debt reduction, while savers in dollars and bondholders may face losses [4][6] Obstacles to Revaluation - Political concerns about admitting dollar devaluation and its impact on confidence [5] - Inflationary signals from money printing could send gold and Bitcoin prices soaring [5] - Congressional approval is required for revaluation [5] Market Implications - Gold and Bitcoin holders are likely to benefit from revaluation [6][7] - Dollar weakening and debt shrinking are expected outcomes [7] - Hard assets are favored over paper assets in this scenario [7]
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-08-21 17:00
Market Analysis - Discussion on whether the Bitcoin bull market is over [1] Economic Commentary - Critique of a fiat economist's inability to admit being wrong [1] - Analysis of the effects of leaving the gold standard [1]