Gold-to-Silver Ratio
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Jim Cramer Says 'Sell Gold'—Analyst Tavi Costa Disagrees, Citing Gold-To-Silver Ratio - Royal Gold (NASDAQ:RGLD)
Benzinga· 2025-10-23 07:25
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing bull run in gold is supported by historical patterns and macroeconomic factors, despite contrasting opinions from market commentators like Jim Cramer who suggest selling gold [1][4]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Crescat Capital's Otavio Costa argues that the current gold price surge, nearing $4,000 per ounce, indicates that the bull run is not yet at its peak, primarily due to a historically high gold-to-silver ratio of 85, which suggests significant upside potential [1][2]. - Historical data shows that previous peaks in gold cycles occurred when the gold-to-silver ratio was much lower, specifically below 20 in 1980 and around 30 in 2011, reinforcing Costa's view that the current cycle has room to grow [3][4]. Group 2: Macro Factors Influencing Gold - Costa identifies a "trifecta of macro imbalances" as key drivers for the gold rally, including central banks accumulating gold, record levels of government debt, and unsustainable fiscal deficits [3][4]. - Geopolitical shifts, an ongoing inflationary environment, and challenges faced by major mining companies are also contributing to the strength of gold [4]. Group 3: Gold and Mining ETFs Performance - Gold Spot prices have risen by 0.61% to approximately $4,123.43 per ounce, with the previous record high at $4,381.6 per ounce, indicating a strong market for gold and related investments [5]. - Notable performances among gold mining companies include Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd. with a year-to-date performance of 115.45% and Perpetua Resources Corp. at 133.39%, reflecting the positive sentiment in the gold sector [6][7].