Core Viewpoint - Robinhood Markets' transaction-based revenues are expected to show decent performance in Q4 2025, with a significant portion of total net revenues coming from these transactions [1][4]. Revenue Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Robinhood's transaction-based revenues is $809.9 million, reflecting a 20.5% increase year-over-year [4]. - Options transaction revenues are estimated at $315.3 million, indicating a growth of 42% [5]. - Equity transaction revenues are projected to rise by 42.3% to $86.8 million, while cryptocurrency transaction revenues are expected to decline by 19.8% to $287.1 million [5]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is 62 cents, representing a 14.8% increase from the previous year [6]. - Total sales are expected to reach $1.32 billion, marking a 30.5% year-over-year rise [6]. Market Context - Trading volumes and client activity remained strong in Q4, supported by a risk-on sentiment in global markets, despite challenges such as the U.S. government shutdown and geopolitical issues [2]. - Unlike previous quarters, equities and fixed income showed steady trading momentum, while crypto trading remained muted due to volatility [3]. Competitive Landscape - Interactive Brokers reported adjusted earnings of 65 cents per share, exceeding estimates and reflecting a 27.5% year-over-year increase, driven by revenue growth and reduced expenses [9]. - Charles Schwab's adjusted earnings of $1.39 per share also surpassed estimates, with a 38% year-over-year increase, supported by strong asset management performance and increased trading revenues [10]. Operational Insights - Robinhood is expected to see higher interest revenues due to an increase in interest-earning assets and securities lending activity, despite interest rate cuts [13]. - Operating expenses are anticipated to remain elevated due to ongoing investments in platform upgrades, product innovation, and regulatory compliance [14]. Stock Performance - Robinhood's shares have experienced significant growth, soaring 203.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 37% and its peers [15].

The House of Representatives is slated to vote Tuesday on passing a funding package to halt a partial government shutdown, meaning the latest closure could be only four days long. The chamber is scheduled to vote around 11:45 a.m. Eastern on starting the process of considering the package, which was already passed by the Senate on Friday after President Donald Trump made a deal with Democrats in that chamber. ...

The US’s closely watched jobs report will once again be delayed, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced on Monday, amid a government shutdown.The January 2026 jobs report, originally scheduled to be released on Friday, will be rescheduled when federal funding resumes. Data collection for the report has been completed, but the shutdown has forced a delay to releasing the report, which will provide crucial jobs data on the US labor market following the weakest year for job growth since 2020, with the ...

average grocery prices, airfares, hotels, car payments, and rent prices are coming down very fast. And you don't hear the word affordability issued by the Democrats anymore. Now they're going into other things because they're getting beaten badly on affordability.>> Okay, that's President Trump pointing out Democrats are switching out their midterm messaging away from affordability. Now the focus is on this stopping more funding for homeland security and ICE to capitalize on what's going on in Minnesota for ...

Market Overview - US stock futures increased, with S&P 500 rising 0.3% and Nasdaq 100 advancing 0.6%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures remained stable [1] - Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision, with expectations of holding the benchmark rate steady [4] Earnings Reports - Key earnings reports due include General Motors, American Airlines, and Boeing [2] - Over 90 S&P 500 companies are set to report earnings, including major players like Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, and Apple [3] Health Insurance Sector - Health insurer stocks experienced significant declines after a report indicated Medicare payments would increase by only 0.09% for 2027, falling short of Wall Street expectations [7] - Humana's stock dropped 12.5%, CVS Health fell over 10% before settling at a 9.4% loss, and UnitedHealth Group's shares decreased by 8.6% [8] Political and Economic Risks - President Trump announced an increase in tariffs on South Korean products from 15% to 25%, affecting various sectors including autos and pharmaceuticals [5] - A potential government shutdown looms as Senate Democrats oppose a funding bill for the Department of Homeland Security [6]

Core Viewpoint - Delta Air Lines is expected to see earnings jump more than 20% in 2025 due to strong travel demand, particularly in the premium segment, potentially reaching record levels [1] Financial Performance - Delta forecasts adjusted earnings per share between $6.50 and $7.50 for the current year, slightly below analysts' estimate of $7.25 [1] - For the first quarter of 2026, Delta anticipates sales growth of up to 7% and adjusted earnings per share between $0.50 and $0.90, compared to analysts' forecast of $0.72 [2] - In the fourth quarter, Delta reported a profit of $1.22 billion, or $1.86 per share, a nearly 45% increase year-over-year, with revenue of $16 billion, up 3% from 2025 [4] Revenue Breakdown - Main cabin ticket revenue fell 7% year-over-year to $5.62 billion in the fourth quarter, while premium ticket revenue rose 9% to nearly $5.7 billion, surpassing main cabin revenue for the first time [5] - For the full year, main cabin revenue remained higher than premium classes despite the recent trend [5] Market Conditions - Bookings from both leisure and corporate travelers have been strong at the start of the year, indicating robust demand [3] - CEO Ed Bastian expressed caution regarding future earnings projections due to geopolitical uncertainties and domestic policy risks [4]

HASSETT, WHO MADE THOSE COMMENTS OVER THE WEEKEND. HE ALSO REITERATED TO CNBC THIS MORNING THAT THE CONSUMER IS STAYING RESILIENT BECAUSE AMERICANS ARE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT INCOME GROWTH IN THE YEAR AHEAD. BUT MY NEXT GUEST SAYS THERE'S A BIG RISK ON THE HORIZON AND ONE THAT WILL COME BEFORE THOSE TAX REFUNDS HIT.JOINING US TO DISCUSS IS TD COWEN'S CHRIS KRUEGER. CHRIS, IT'S GOOD TO SEE YOU. AND YOU'RE TALKING ABOUT THE OBAMACARE SUBSIDIES, RIGHT.>> GREAT TO SEE YOU AS WELL. THAT'S CORRECT. THEY'RE GOING TO EXP ...

I realize what happened in the House with that discharge petition involves a unique tool in the House. Will John Thune be compelled to bring a similar extension back to the floor after what we just saw today. Well, I hope so, because what what you're talking about has happened in the House is based on the need of the American public.I think both Democrats and Republicans realize the American public is demanding that they still have affordable health care in this country. That includes those subsidies for en ...

The FDA has been an agency under fire. From controversial staff appointees to deep staffing cuts to being openly questioned by former FDA chiefs about medical policies. Now CNBC has learned that in the depths of the government shutdown, the FDA approved sending staffers on a quarter of a million dollar trip to a conference in Singapore, prompting questions about the AY's priorities.Here's Melissa Lee with that story. On the last day of the government shutdown, employees from the Food and Drug Administration ...

The president said at a lot of times in your home state the other evening that affordability is a Democrat hoax. Are you involved in some sort of conspiracy here. What is you referring to.Well, often I am bewildered by what exactly the president says. He says the problem is that too many kids have 37 pencils. I can assure you I don't have 37 pencils.Neither does my daughter. You know, this president really was elected more than any other reason, as you kind of referred to just a few moments ago. He was elec ...