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EMCOR Jumps 49% YTD: Here's How to Play the Stock at 25.34X P/E
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 15:26
Core Insights - EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) has demonstrated strong performance in 2025, with a stock surge of nearly 49% year to date, outperforming its industry and the broader market [1][6][22] Stock Performance - As of October 13, 2025, EMCOR's shares reached $677.02, just 3% below the 52-week high of $697.91, and nearly 468% above the low of $119.12, indicating strong investor confidence [2] - The stock's forward P/E ratio stands at 25.34X, above the industry average of 22.95X and its five-year median of 17.25X, reflecting a premium valuation supported by strong fundamentals [4] Financial Performance - EMCOR reported record revenues of $4.30 billion in Q2 2025, a 17.4% increase year over year, with EPS rising 28% to $6.72, surpassing consensus estimates by 18.3% [12] - The Electrical Construction segment saw a revenue increase of 67.5% to $1.34 billion, while the Mechanical Construction segment rose 6% to $1.76 billion, both benefiting from demand in data centers and healthcare [13] Backlog and Growth Drivers - EMCOR's Remaining Performance Obligations (RPOs) reached an all-time high of $11.91 billion, up 32.4% year over year, driven by strength in data centers, healthcare, and onshoring projects [8] - The company raised its 2025 revenue guidance to $16.4–$16.9 billion and non-GAAP EPS outlook to $24.50–$25.75, reflecting strong operational momentum [16] Strategic Acquisitions - The acquisition of Miller Electric added $947 million in backlog and enhanced EMCOR's revenue mix and margin profile, aligning with the company's growth strategy [10] - In the first half of 2025, EMCOR invested $887 million in acquisitions and $432 million in stock repurchases, demonstrating capital efficiency [11] Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Analyst sentiment remains positive, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 EPS increased to $25.19, marking a 17.1% growth from the previous year [17] - EMCOR's diverse RPO composition across various sectors provides stability compared to peers, particularly in a softening cyclical environment [9] Challenges - Despite strong overall performance, the U.S. Industrial Services unit reported a revenue decline of 13.3% year over year, indicating challenges in specific segments [19] - Labor and SG&A inflation are concerns, with SG&A expenses rising to 9.7% of sales, reflecting higher costs associated with skilled labor shortages [20]