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Luxury stocks' volatility highlights AI jitters, hedge fund positioning
Reuters· 2026-02-17 05:03
Core Viewpoint - Luxury companies like LVMH and Kering are facing significant volatility in their stock prices due to hedge fund positioning and concerns over AI-related market fluctuations, as they attempt to recover from a two-year slowdown in sales [2][3][8]. Group 1: Company Performance - LVMH, the largest luxury group with a market cap of €260 billion ($308.49 billion), experienced its largest one-day stock drop since 2020 after CEO Bernard Arnault expressed caution about future growth, which contrasted with a previous 12% increase following an optimistic market update in October [4][10]. - Kering's shares rose by 11% after reporting fourth-quarter revenue that fell slightly less than expected, with new CEO Luca de Meo indicating "early, fragile" signs of recovery [6][11]. - Hermes, known for its Birkin bags, saw a modest 2.5% increase in shares despite a solid quarter, trading at 45 times forward earnings, more than double that of LVMH [11]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The luxury sector is experiencing heightened volatility due to a high number of short positions taken by hedge funds, which can lead to significant price swings when unexpected results are announced [5][8]. - The luxury market's dependence on affluent consumer spending makes it particularly sensitive to fluctuations in the U.S. stock market, which is currently experiencing volatility driven by AI trends [8][9]. - Hedge funds are increasingly influencing market movements, with many trading based on news and data points, which can exacerbate price volatility in luxury stocks [7][10]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Investors are actively switching their bets among luxury brands, looking for potential turnaround stories as the sector navigates a slow recovery [11]. - Kering's CEO has highlighted the stock market as a key indicator of luxury spending in the U.S., warning that a correction in the AI market could negatively impact European luxury groups [9]. - The current market environment is characterized by nervousness among investors, with many seeking to sell amid high valuations and concentrated market conditions [10].