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Tech Drags US Stocks as Silver Turns Volatile
Youtube· 2025-12-29 17:25
Market Outlook - The market is expected to see more breadth, with a shift away from a tech-led rally, making the 20% growth target more challenging to achieve [1] - Three key themes for the upcoming year include high productivity, quality improvement, and earnings breadth, particularly focusing on industrial sectors rather than consumer cyclicals [2][6] Earnings Growth Expectations - Earnings growth expectations for the industrial sector are projected at around 10%, while consumer sectors are expected to see lower margin increases of less than 60 basis points [7][8] - The S&P 500 is anticipated to achieve close to 15% growth, with earnings revisions showing a surprising aggregate beat of 9.5% in Q3 [9][10] Sector Performance - There is a notable earnings breadth within the tech space, with major tech companies expected to achieve around 20% growth, indicating a positive shift in the market [11] - European equities, particularly European banks and financials, are viewed positively, suggesting a potential resurgence in that region [13][14] Operational Efficiency - Companies are focusing on operational efficiencies, with an emphasis on sales per employee and margin stability as key metrics for assessing performance [15] - The rotation back into higher quality stocks is anticipated, with a focus on companies that can deliver consistent earnings growth despite elevated valuations [16]