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Buy, Sell, Or Hold Tripadvisor Stock?
Forbes· 2025-07-03 15:35
Core Insights - Tripadvisor's stock surged 8% following the announcement of activist investor Starboard Value acquiring a stake exceeding 9% in the company, which led to a further 7% increase in after-hours trading [2][3] - Despite the stock's recent performance, Tripadvisor has faced significant challenges, including a 15% decline in shares over the past year and ongoing strategic considerations since early 2024 [3][9] - Tripadvisor's financial fundamentals reveal concerning metrics, including a price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio of 61.3, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 20.9, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 41.1 compared to the benchmark's 26.9 [4][9] Financial Performance - Revenue growth has stalled, with only a 1.4% increase over the past 12 months and a mere 0.8% year-over-year growth in the most recent quarter, raising concerns about future growth sustainability [5][9] - Tripadvisor's operating margin is at 6.5%, free cash flow margin at 5.8%, and net margin at 2.9%, all significantly below the S&P 500 averages [5][9] Financial Health - The company has $1.3 billion in debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 68.9%, which is considerably higher than the S&P 500 average of 19.4% [7] - However, Tripadvisor maintains a strong cash position of $1.2 billion, representing 42% of total assets, providing a safety net against its elevated debt levels [7] Market Resilience - Historically, Tripadvisor has underperformed during market downturns, with a 60.5% decline during the 2022 selloff and a 53.9% drop during the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating limited resilience in volatile conditions [8][9] - The stock currently trades around $15, less than a quarter of its 2021 peak, highlighting ongoing challenges in recovering from past performance [8] Investment Outlook - Tripadvisor's growth momentum is diminishing, profitability remains weak, and the current valuation appears disconnected from its fundamental performance, making it an undesirable investment for long-term investors [9][10]
Why Is U. S. Steel Stock Surging?
Forbes· 2025-05-29 09:02
Core Insights - United States Steel Corporation (USS) has seen a stock increase of over 50% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index, which has declined by 1% [1] - The stock price surge is attributed to President Trump's support for a strategic collaboration with Japan's Nippon Steel, which is expected to enhance USS's market position [1][6] Financial Performance - USS reported a revenue increase of approximately 2.5%, rising from $3.64 billion in Q4 2024 to $3.73 billion in Q1 2025, despite continuing to report losses with earnings per share worsening to -$0.52 [3] - Revenue for Q1 2025 showed a 10.4% decrease year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA reported at $172 million, down from $190 million in Q4 2024 [5] - The Flat-Rolled segment's adjusted EBITDA declined by 33% year-over-year due to lower average realized prices and increased energy costs [5] Market Position and Strategic Developments - The proposed $14.9 billion takeover is being reframed as a "planned partnership," allowing USS to maintain its headquarters in Pittsburgh while the U.S. government retains authority over the company [2] - Nippon Steel plans to invest up to $4 billion in a new steel mill, projected to create 70,000 jobs and contribute $14 billion to the U.S. economy within 14 months [2] Valuation Metrics - Despite negative revenue growth in recent years, USS's price-to-sales (P/S) multiple has increased from 0.4 in 2020 to 0.6 currently, although this is higher than the 0.3 seen at the end of 2021 and 2022 [4]