High-margin business model

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AppLovin Stock Plunges 26% in 3 Months: Is it a Smart Investment Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-05-15 17:36
Core Viewpoint - AppLovin Corporation (APP) has experienced significant stock volatility, with a 26% decline over the past three months, contrasting with a 15% decline in the industry, but has recently rebounded with a 64% increase in the past month, indicating potential recovery in the digital advertising market [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - APP's stock has declined 26% over the last three months, worse than the industry's 15% decline [1] - Competitors like Alphabet and Meta Platforms have also faced declines of 11% and 10%, respectively, during the same period [1] - In the past month, APP's stock surged 64%, while Alphabet and Meta Platforms gained 8% and 31%, respectively, suggesting a potential market recovery [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - AppLovin is transitioning to a pure-play advertising platform, focusing on high-growth, high-margin segments [4] - The $900 million sale of its gaming unit to Tripledot Studios allows APP to concentrate on ad technology, aligning with its vision for the global digital advertising market [4] - The company is investing in automation and developing advanced tools to enhance customer efficiency and maximize ad performance [4] Group 3: Financial Performance - AppLovin's first quarter of 2025 saw revenues surge 40% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA jumping 83% and net income skyrocketing 144% [5] - For the full year 2024, revenues climbed 43% year over year, while adjusted EBITDA surged 81%, indicating strong market demand and operational efficiency [5] Group 4: Earnings and Revenue Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 earnings is $2.01 per share, reflecting a 125.8% increase from the prior-year quarter [8] - For the full years 2025 and 2026, earnings are expected to grow by 85.2% and 41.9%, respectively [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 revenues is $1.45 billion, representing a 33.9% increase from the prior-year quarter [11]