Human Capital Index+ (HCI+)
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人力资本指数加2026:方法论说明(英)
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2026-03-02 08:45
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The Human Capital Index (HCI) measures the expected human capital a child born today can attain by age 18, highlighting the importance of health and education investments for future productivity [11][21] - The revised Human Capital Index Plus (HCI+) extends the HCI by incorporating human capital accumulation through higher education and on-the-job learning, recognizing that human capital development continues beyond formal schooling [14][39] - The HCI+ is designed to be more responsive to current policies and outcomes, providing a clearer connection between human capital and potential earnings growth [33][39] Summary by Sections Methodology Overview - The HCI+ captures human capital across three domains: health, education, and on-the-job learning, allowing for a detailed analysis of where improvements are needed [15][39] - The HCI+ defines a unit of human capital based on its impact on potential earnings, where an increase in human capital by one unit corresponds to a 1% increase in earnings potential [16][39] Conceptual Framework - Human capital is defined as the health, skills, knowledge, and experience accumulated over a lifetime, with investments in these areas yielding long-term economic returns [20][30] - The HCI+ focuses on expected future human capital rather than the current workforce, emphasizing the need for ongoing investments in education and health [21][30] Mathematical Expression - The HCI+ is mathematically expressed to reflect the average human capital a newborn can expect over their working life, incorporating survival probabilities and expected earnings potential [36][39] - The index is additively decomposable across its components, facilitating analysis and policy engagement [39][43] Economic Growth Connection - A 1% increase in the HCI+ value is associated with a 1% increase in average earnings potential, which can lead to a proportional increase in future GDP per capita [56][57]