Hybrid bonding technology

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摩根大通:先进封装-解决半导体性能瓶颈
摩根· 2025-05-12 03:14
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the advanced packaging industry. Core Insights - Advanced packaging is essential for overcoming semiconductor performance bottlenecks, enabling higher speeds and efficiency through enhanced interconnect density and improved thermal management [1][4][8]. - The advanced packaging market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12% from 2024 to 2029, with high-end performance packaging expected to grow at a CAGR of 37% [4][54][55]. - Hybrid bonding technology is highlighted as a key evolution in semiconductor performance, offering significant advantages in terms of cost, efficiency, and application potential [4][89]. Summary by Sections Advanced Packaging Key to Future Scaling - Moore's Law has led to increased transistor density, but performance metrics like single-thread performance and power efficiency have not kept pace, creating bottlenecks [7][11]. - Advanced packaging addresses these limitations by improving interconnect density and thermal management, allowing chips to operate at higher speeds [8][11]. Semiconductor Architecture Evolution - The shift from monolithic System-on-Chip (SoC) designs to 2D chiplets allows for modular chip design, optimizing cost and performance [16][21]. - 2.5D and 3D packaging techniques enhance data transfer efficiency and increase transistor density [25][26]. Bonding and Packaging Technologies - The evolution of bonding technologies from wire bonding to hybrid bonding reflects the industry's need for higher precision and density in interconnects [62][64]. - Hybrid bonding enables direct copper-to-copper interconnects, significantly reducing latency and increasing interconnect density [95][89]. Market Growth and Trends - The advanced packaging market is expected to reach $84 billion by 2029, driven by innovations in AI, 5G/6G, and autonomous driving technologies [54][40]. - High-end performance packaging, particularly in segments like 3D NAND and HBM, is projected to contribute significantly to market growth [55][48]. Adoption of Hybrid Bonding - Hybrid bonding is currently limited to high-end applications but is expected to see wider adoption due to its performance advantages over traditional methods [4][89]. - Companies like AMD and Intel are early adopters of hybrid bonding, indicating a trend towards its increased use in advanced semiconductor applications [4][89]. Competitive Landscape - The advanced packaging equipment market features several competitors, with BE Semiconductor (Besi) noted for its strong position in hybrid bonding [4][54]. - The report emphasizes the need for semiconductor manufacturers to invest in advanced packaging technologies to remain competitive [84][85].