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AGA会议第三天关键要点
Morgan Stanley· 2025-05-22 00:55
Investment Rating - The industry view is rated as In-Line [7] Core Insights - The demand for data centers remains strong across multiple utility companies, with significant capital expenditure (capex) opportunities identified [2][3] - Regulatory environments in states like Missouri and Texas are improving, which is expected to support utility growth and infrastructure investments [2][3] - Long-term earnings per share (EPS) growth outlook for New Jersey Resources (NJR) is projected at 7-9%, supported by residential growth and active pipeline replacement programs [4] Summary by Company Ameren (AEE) - Active conversations with data centers and a recent tariff proposal filed in Missouri to ensure regulatory comfort for large loads [2] - Equity needs are met through 2026, with manageable capital requirements following recent storms [2] CenterPoint Energy (CNP) - Continued strong demand for data centers and multiple capex opportunities, including significant projects in Texas [3] - Anticipated guidance refresh in September to reflect new capex opportunities [3] New Jersey Resources (NJR) - Confident in achieving 7-9% long-term EPS growth, with a quiet regulatory agenda expected after recent rate case conclusions [4] - Focus on utility-like earnings in unregulated businesses through stable pricing and long-term contracts [4] Other Companies - Duke Energy (DUK) has high confidence in its data center pipeline and is streamlining interconnection processes [10] - PPL Corp (PPL) is constructive on the regulatory backdrop in Kentucky and has not seen a slowdown in its data center pipeline [12] - Xcel Energy (XEL) has safe harbored renewables in its plans and is on track to achieve data center load growth [14] - Spire (SR) anticipates a potential settlement in its Missouri rate case, which could improve its earnings outlook [21][22]