Ideological Investing

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Why Bitcoin Is The Ultimate Value Investment
Anthony Pomplianoยท 2025-09-04 21:00
Investment Strategies - The discussion contrasts the "intelligent investor" approach, rooted in traditional valuation principles like discounted cash flows and interest rates, with an "ideological investor" approach that considers geopolitical, technological (AI), and cultural factors [1] - The traditional intelligent investor model assumes a stable, dollar-hegemony-based world order, which the report argues is failing, necessitating a re-evaluation of investment intelligence [1] - The report suggests that external events and policy changes are increasingly impacting valuations, diminishing the importance of traditional financial metrics and creating opportunities for retail investors [2] - The analysis emphasizes the growing importance of a company's or asset's ability to adapt to a changing world, particularly in light of external shocks and the increasing influence of retail investors [2] Bitcoin as an Investment - Bitcoin is presented as a "capital V value" due to its censorship resistance and its potential to unify culturally and technologically [10][11] - Bitcoin is viewed as a store of energy for high compute, aligning it with the importance of computing power in the age of AI [13] - The report highlights the potential of Bitcoin treasury companies to generate revenue and acquire more Bitcoin on their balance sheets, reducing reliance on traditional capital raising [1][47] - Approximately 10% of Bitcoin is held by institutions, with the top 7% being held by only around 115 entities, indicating early stages of institutional adoption [43][44] The Role of Ideology and Community - The report argues that a company's authentic vision and willingness to express views are becoming increasingly important, particularly to retail investors who are pushing back against the "blank canvas" approach of some consumer-facing businesses [3] - The analysis suggests that belief-based investing, founded upon values, is becoming more prevalent, shaping investment decisions over the next 10 years [35] - The discussion emphasizes the importance of aligning customers and shareholders, giving ownership to those who use the products, similar to the ethos of crypto networks [51][55]