Economic Data Overview - U.S. Retail Sales for July increased by 0.5%, down from a revised 0.9% in June, which was the second-highest level of the year [2] - Excluding auto sales, Retail Sales were also in line with estimates at +0.3%, a decrease from the upwardly revised +0.8% in June [2][3] - Core Retail Sales (Control print) for July was +0.5%, down from the revised +0.8% in June, indicating a slowdown in consumer spending [3] Import and Export Prices - July Import Prices rose by 0.4%, significantly above the consensus estimate of 0.0%, marking the highest level since April 2024 [4] - Year-over-year, Import Prices have remained at -0.2% for three consecutive months [4] - Exports for July increased by only 0.1%, down from +0.5% in June, with year-over-year growth decreasing from +2.6% to +2.2% [5] Trade Dynamics - The increase in Import Prices suggests that U.S. trading partners are not absorbing tariff costs, as higher prices indicate a lack of downward trend [6] - The current trade situation reflects a challenge, with rising Import Prices and declining Export values [5][6] Manufacturing Sector Insights - The Empire State Index for August reported a higher-than-expected figure of 11.9, marking the second-highest month since November of the previous year [7] - This is the second consecutive positive reading after four months of negative results, indicating a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector [7] Market Outlook - The S&P 500 is on track to maintain its winning streak, achieving record closing highs throughout the week [8] - Upcoming economic data releases and the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium are anticipated to influence market sentiment, particularly regarding potential Fed rate cuts [8][9]