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Budget likely to be status quo, focus needed on FII outflows: Sandip Sabharwal
The Economic Times· 2026-02-01 04:34
Government and Economic Outlook - The upcoming Union Budget is unlikely to deliver major reform-oriented surprises and is expected to maintain the status quo due to limited scope for sweeping changes [1] - The government must urgently address heavy foreign portfolio investor (FPI) outflows to mitigate risks to financial stability [2][3] - Concerns among foreign investors have intensified following recent tax-related developments, particularly the Flipkart judgment, which has led to uncertainty regarding past transactions [6][7] Precious Metals and Cryptocurrencies - The recent rally in gold and silver prices is deemed unsustainable, with expectations of further price corrections in the near term [8][9] - The correction in precious metals and cryptocurrencies is viewed as a healthy development, indicating a return to market sanity [10] Indian Equities and Market Sentiment - Despite near-term pressures, the long-term outlook for Indian equities remains constructive, supported by healthy economic indicators and corporate earnings [11] - Concerns exist regarding the depreciation of the rupee, rising bond yields, and tightening liquidity conditions, which could pose challenges for the economy [12] Investment Opportunities - Attractive valuations in the midcap space and select sectors, such as construction, defense, and consumption, present potential investment opportunities [13] - Market psychology often creates the best buying opportunities, as drastic sell-offs can lead to undervalued stocks [14] - Selective buying has begun in the market, with interest in larger companies and smaller private banks benefiting from an improving rate environment [15][16]