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Buy This Growing Dividend As Markets Climb A ‘Wall Of Worry'
Forbes· 2025-07-02 14:35
Company Overview - Hershey Co. is positioned as a strong dividend growth stock, with a focus on domestic production to mitigate risks from international tariffs and geopolitical issues [4][5] - The company operates 14 plants in the U.S. and has additional facilities in Brazil, India, Canada, and Mexico, which provides insulation against potential retaliatory tariffs [4][5] Financial Performance - Cocoa prices, which account for approximately 20% of Hershey's cost of goods sold, have been volatile, impacting stock performance [7] - Hershey's stock is down about 1.4% this year, while the S&P 500 has gained approximately 4.4% [8] - Despite rising cocoa prices, they are forecasted to decline by 13% in 2026, which could benefit Hershey in the long term [8] Product Strategy - Hershey is adapting to changing consumer preferences by launching new products that reduce reliance on chocolate, such as the Reese peanut-butter-filled pretzels [11] - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including two plants from Weaver Popcorn Manufacturing, to diversify its product offerings and mitigate cocoa price fluctuations [11] Cost Management - Hershey is implementing a two-year restructuring plan aimed at saving $300 million through automation and streamlined production, which has positively impacted free cash flow [12] - The increase in free cash flow has enabled a 32% boost to Hershey's dividend in 2024, highlighting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders [12][13] Dividend Outlook - Hershey's current dividend yield is 3.3%, which is more than double the S&P 500 average, with a focus on payout growth as a key investment driver [13] - The stock's price has historically tracked the dividend payout, suggesting potential for a "snap back" in stock performance as cocoa prices retreat and cost-cutting measures take effect [13][14] Market Stability - Hershey is characterized by low volatility, with a five-year beta rating of 0.28, indicating it is less volatile than the S&P 500, making it an attractive option in uncertain market conditions [14]