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KMB Stock Tumbles 19% in 3 Months: Buy the Dip or Stay Cautious?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 18:06
Core Insights - Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) has seen a significant decline in its stock price, dropping 19.4% over the past three months, which is worse than the Zacks Consumer Products–Staples industry's decline of 9.9% and the Consumer Staples sector's decline of 4.7% [1][5] - The company's performance is impacted by softer global demand, inflation, currency volatility, and increased marketing investments, which are pressuring margins [1][5] - Despite these challenges, Kimberly-Clark is focusing on brand support and innovation to stabilize its performance [1][5] Stock Performance - KMB's stock closed at $103.14, which is 31.4% below its 52-week high of $150.45 reached on March 10, 2025 [2] - The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $110.31 and $125.33, indicating bearish sentiment [2][3] Comparison with Peers - KMB has underperformed compared to peers such as Procter & Gamble (PG), Albertsons Companies (ACI), and The Clorox Company (CLX), which have seen declines of 11.3%, 8.6%, and 17%, respectively [2][5] - KMB's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 14.60, lower than the industry's average of 17.58, while Procter & Gamble and Clorox have higher P/E ratios of 19.44 and 16.31, respectively [6][8] Financial Pressures - In Q3 2025, KMB's adjusted gross margin decreased by 170 basis points year-over-year due to cost inflation and tariff-related expenses [10] - Currency translation is expected to negatively impact net sales by approximately 100 basis points, with additional declines from divestitures and exits [11][13] - Adjusted earnings per share are projected to be pressured by various factors, including divestitures, higher net interest expenses, and currency translation [14] Strategic Initiatives - Kimberly-Clark is implementing an innovation-led growth strategy and focusing on productivity to navigate current challenges [16][17] - The company is enhancing commercial execution through targeted promotions and digital channel growth [18] - The acquisition of Kenvue is expected to create a $32-billion global health and wellness leader, delivering $2.1 billion in synergies and driving EPS growth [19] Operational Resilience - KMB is addressing currency and tariff volatility through strategic sourcing and supply-chain optimization [20] - The company aims for long-term targets of at least 40% gross margin and an 18-20% operating margin [20] Investment Outlook - While KMB faces significant headwinds, there are signs of stabilization driven by innovation and productivity gains [21] - The upcoming Kenvue acquisition strengthens KMB's long-term strategic position, although integration risks remain [21][22] - Current investors may consider a cautious approach, while those with a higher risk appetite might view the discounted valuation as an opportunity [22][23]
PepsiCo's 2025 Playbook: Can Cost Cuts Fund an Innovation-Led Rebound?
ZACKS· 2025-11-19 16:26
Core Insights - PepsiCo's 2025 strategy focuses on aggressive cost reduction and an accelerated innovation agenda to rebuild profitability after facing margin pressure from inflation and supply-chain issues [1][8] - The company aims to strengthen margins through productivity improvements, including SKU reductions and workforce cuts, while also investing in new product development [2][3] Cost Reduction Initiatives - PepsiCo has cut over 35% of SKUs and reduced Frito-Lay's workforce by 7%, alongside shutting down some plants and consolidating distribution [2] - The company plans to implement an additional 15% SKU reduction in the fourth quarter to further enhance margins [2] Innovation and Product Development - PepsiCo is focusing on a stronger pipeline of new products, including functional drinks and clean-label snacks, to drive higher-value growth [3] - Successful product launches like Pepsi Zero Sugar and Gatorade Lower Sugar reflect the company's shift towards health-focused categories [3] Financial Performance and Projections - PepsiCo's shares have decreased by 2.5% over the past three months, compared to a 0.2% decline in the industry [7] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for PepsiCo is 17.49X, slightly below the industry average of 18.01X [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a 0.7% decline in earnings for 2025, with a projected growth of 5.9% for 2026 [10]
Johnson & Johnson Targets Accelerated Growth Across Segments in 2026
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 14:17
Core Insights - Johnson & Johnson (J&J) anticipates that consensus estimates for its 2026 financial performance are too conservative, projecting higher growth rates for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) than currently expected [1][9]. Revenue and EPS Projections - J&J expects revenue growth of over 5% in 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of approximately 4.6% [2][9]. - The company forecasts adjusted EPS to be around 5 cents higher than the consensus of $11.39 per share, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 EPS at $11.46 [2][12]. Segment Performance Expectations - The Innovative Medicine segment is projected to experience accelerated growth in 2026, despite the loss of exclusivity for the drug Stelara, which negatively impacted growth by 1070 basis points in Q2 2025 [3][4]. - Sales in the Innovative Medicine Unit rose 4.5% operationally to $44.64 billion in the first nine months of 2025, driven by key products like Darzalex, Tremfya, and new oncology drugs [4][5]. - The MedTech segment is expected to outperform 2025 levels, supported by the adoption of new products and a focus on high-growth markets, with sales rising 5.3% operationally to $25.0 billion in the first nine months of 2025 [6][7]. Product Launches and Innovations - J&J plans to launch several new products in 2026, including the Shockwave C2 Aero catheter and Tecnis intraocular lens, which are anticipated to contribute to growth [6][9]. - The company is also preparing for regulatory submissions for the OTTAVA robotic surgical system, indicating a strategic pivot towards innovation-led growth [7]. Stock Performance and Valuation - J&J's stock has outperformed the industry, rising 34.0% year-to-date compared to a 5.1% increase in the industry [8]. - The company's shares are currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 17.08, higher than the industry average of 15.52 and above its five-year mean of 15.64, suggesting a slightly expensive valuation [11].