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Expert warns scaling back quarterly reports could spark volatility and unfair edge
CNBC Television· 2025-09-17 14:28
Market Transparency & Volatility - Proposal to reduce reporting frequency to semi-annually is viewed negatively, potentially increasing volatility due to larger information gaps [2][4][17][18] - Less frequent reports could lead to bigger surprises and market reactions, described as a "tape bomb" effect [2][17] - Reduced transparency may disadvantage retail investors and advantage insiders with access to non-public information, potentially promoting insider trading [3][23] Investor Sentiment & Preferences - Most investors are not seeking less frequent earnings reports, with institutional investors like pension funds likely to oppose the proposal due to their need for transparency [6] - Investors rely on quarterly reports and company forecasts for timely and material information, making less frequent reporting detrimental [10] - Some companies in Europe voluntarily report quarterly despite not being required, driven by investor demand and the desire to avoid large price swings [16] Reporting Frequency & Calendar Alignment - There is a preference for maintaining quarterly reports, with opinions varying on whether monthly reports would be beneficial [12][13] - A shift away from the current calendar-aligned fiscal year reporting is not widely desired by investors [22] - Maintaining the current calendar fiscal year is preferred for ease of alignment and digestion of information [20]
Calamos' Joe Cusick on September's 'elephant in the room' for traders
CNBC Television· 2025-08-28 22:06
Market Sentiment & Risk Assessment - The market exhibits complacency, with the VIX (volatility index) at low levels, raising concerns among hedged equity strategists [3][4] - Institutions are hedging positions extensively, buying puts, and engaging in put spread activity, particularly in the energy sector, indicating underlying uncertainty despite all-time highs [7][8] - Market participants believe they can quickly exit positions if an event occurs, contributing to the "full speed ahead" mentality [6] - Seasonality into September is noted as a potential factor influencing market behavior [7] Retail Investor Influence - Retail investors are increasingly driving market moves, indicated by rising option volumes through retail shops and speculative moves into unloved stocks [9][10][11] - Retail investors are using hedged equity strategies, such as put spreads in the S&P 500, reflecting growing uncertainty [8] Mispricing & Volatility - Mispricing and volatility exist between implied and realized market movements, with the market seemingly unconcerned about potential impacts from events like Fed-related news [2][3] - The VIX, a measure of options pricing, is not indicating nervousness, despite underlying concerns about complacency [3][4]