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Investors want be long the momentum names in the options market, says Susquehanna's Chris Murphy
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-08-21 17:56
Market Sentiment & Strategy - Despite price declines in high momentum names like AMD, Nvidia and Super Micro, the options market shows bullish signals, indicating a willingness to buy the dip [1][2] - Some investors are closing out crowded stock positions to set up bullish options positions, either buying the dip or using calls in anticipation of a rapid rebound [3][4] - A December $100 put seller in Palantir, for 20,000 times, signals willingness to buy at a lower level if the selloff continues [3] - The market is seeing more hedging on a macro level due to factors like AI bubble concerns, seasonal weakness, and upcoming catalysts [5][7] - In names like ARC, consistent near-term put and put spread buying is observed, reflecting a strategy to play seasonality while remaining involved in case of a rally [6][7] - Riot is experiencing consistent call buying, particularly in December, indicating a bullish outlook further out along the calendar [8] - CPRI is seeing a strategy of closing out near-term positions to hold medium-term option positions, anticipating a recovery later in the year [8][9] Macroeconomic Factors & Positioning - Increased volatility buying is noted in the Japanese ETF (EWJ), with some call buying and protection, potentially positioning for an unwind similar to last year's yen carry trade [10][11] - Put buying is observed in fixed income ETFs like TLT and HYG [12] - A significant purchase of around 60,000 puts in SHY, the near-term Treasury ETF, suggests anticipation of a potentially disappointing message from Fed Chair Powell at Jackson Hole, or sticky inflation data delaying potential rate cuts [13][14]