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U.S. LNG Boom Faces Glut Risk by 2030
Yahoo Financeยท 2025-09-23 22:00
Core Insights - The U.S. LNG export industry is expected to face challenges by the end of the decade due to oversupply in the global market, primarily driven by significant capacity additions in the U.S. and Qatar, which may depress prices and profit margins for U.S. exporters [1][5][6] Supply Dynamics - American LNG developers have resumed approving new project investments following the lifting of the pause on new LNG projects by the Trump Administration [3] - Major projects include Woodside's Louisiana LNG project, Venture Global's CP2 LNG project with $15.1 billion financing, and Cheniere's Corpus Christi Midscale Trains 8 & 9, which is expected to exceed 30 million tonnes per annum in liquefaction capacity by the end of the decade [4][6] Market Competition - The LNG export industry will increasingly compete with domestic demand for natural gas, particularly for power generation driven by data centers and onshoring manufacturing activities [2][5] - Analysts predict that the more U.S. LNG capacity that reaches Final Investment Decision (FID), the greater the potential for oversupply and subsequent price drops [5] Future Projections - By 2030, supply from the U.S. and Qatar is expected to surge, with U.S. projects starting operations and Qatar completing its largest LNG expansion by 2027 [6] - An estimated total of almost 300 billion cubic meters per year of new LNG export capacity is anticipated to come online from projects that have reached FID or are under construction between 2025 and 2030 [7]