Labour Market

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UK Inflation Accelerates, Driven by Air Fares, Hotels, Fuel, Adding to Pressure on BOE
Bloomberg Television· 2025-08-20 06:49
Is this the kind of data that will that will force the Bank of England to hold basically through the rest of this year into 2026. Can I take out November as a potential cut from the Bowie. Given what the numbers I'm looking at on the screen right now look like, I wouldn't take it out.I think, you know, I think it's uncomfortable, right, that inflation just keeps rising. That's not the greatest backdrop for a central bank. And remember, the Bank of England already expecting inflation to rise further, expects ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-08-12 17:05
Matthew Holehouse, our British political correspondent, on the Conservatives’ changed view of Britain’s labour market https://t.co/ACAhkEbmOk ...
依旧混乱_最新关税期限过后的关键图表-Still so messy_ The key charts as the latest tariff deadline passes
2025-08-08 05:02
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the impact of US tariffs and geopolitical risks on global trade and the economy, particularly focusing on the US, EU, Japan, and emerging markets like Vietnam and Indonesia [2][10]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Tariff Impact**: New higher tariff rates ranging from 10% to 41% took effect on August 7, 2025, which are expected to negatively affect global trade and the US economy in the upcoming months [3][9]. - **Labour Market Concerns**: There are signs of weakness in the US labor market, with payroll data showing negative revisions and weak job growth. This indicates potential cost pressures and inflationary effects due to tariffs [4][37]. - **Global GDP Trends**: Q2 GDP growth has shown a reversal from Q1 trends, with the US experiencing a drop in imports that lifted growth, while other economies faced declines in exports [5][24]. - **Inflation Dynamics**: Outside the US, inflation appears to be moderating, with central banks in Europe, Asia, and Latin America cutting rates, which may buffer against tariff-related uncertainties [6][86]. - **Market Resilience**: Despite the choppy economic data and tariff news, equity markets have reached new highs, indicating a broader resilience in the global economy [7][10]. Additional Important Points - **Trade Deals**: The US has signed numerous bilateral trade deals with countries including Japan, Indonesia, and the EU, which have provided some clarity on trade policies, although higher tariffs are expected to lead to lower growth and higher inflation in the US [9][120]. - **Consumer Behavior**: US consumer spending remains robust despite lower consumer confidence, while retail sales in Europe are primarily driven by Spain [50][55]. - **Trade Deficit Trends**: The US trade deficit narrowed in June as imports fell, particularly for consumer goods and industrial supplies, indicating a complex trade environment influenced by tariffs [62][63]. - **Chinese Trade Adjustments**: Chinese exports are shifting towards ASEAN, EU, and the UK markets, while imports from the US and EU are decreasing due to tariffs [147][151]. - **Electronics Demand**: Taiwan's electronics export orders have been declining, indicating demand pressure in the electronics sector, although chip exports are still growing [161][163]. Conclusion - The conference call highlights the intricate dynamics of global trade influenced by US tariffs, labor market conditions, and inflation trends. The resilience of markets amidst these challenges suggests a complex but cautiously optimistic outlook for the global economy moving forward.
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-08-07 15:10
Deliveroo is hardly the only player in the gig economy. But it has become a symbol of Britain’s open and flexible labour market, whose rules on hiring and firing are among the loosest in the OECD.The Labour Party has seen that as a weakness https://t.co/rD70RCC3It ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-08-07 06:00
Britain’s government wants to make the labour market—in particular the gig economy—more regulated and more productive. But are Labour voters willing to give up their Friday night Deliveroo for the prime minister’s vision?https://t.co/wDgQ2RAVVZIllustration: Nate Kitch https://t.co/D6CUyfLYjw ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-08-06 21:40
Britain’s government wants to make the labour market—in particular the gig economy—more regulated and more productive. But are Labour voters willing to give up their Friday night Deliveroo for the prime minister’s vision? https://t.co/6ySynoHN9g ...
Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged, Two Members Dissent
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-30 18:16
No rate moves to distance as anticipated and no future guidance. The benchmark rate remains in a range of four and a quarter to four and a half percent. Even though policymakers say that economic growth moderated in the first half of the year as, quote, swings in net exports continue to affect the data.Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated, their statement says. They dropped the suggestion in the last statement that it had diminished, but there are no hints about future moves. September is ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-07-29 02:40
Labor Market Trends - The American economy previously favored those who frequently changed jobs [1] - As the labor market weakens, job-hoppers are now facing difficulties [1]
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-07-27 23:00
For years, America’s economy rewarded the footloose. But now, as the once rock-solid labour market softens, it is job-hoppers that are struggling https://t.co/VZCq4uDnDp ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-07-26 21:00
For years, America’s economy rewarded the footloose. But now, as the once rock-solid labour market softens, it is job-hoppers that are struggling https://t.co/OkIQovNdNs ...