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TSLA Up Over 30% in September: Measuring Tesla's Post-Rally Potential
Youtubeยท 2025-09-30 20:00
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock performance is showing slight positive movement, with a price target raised by Cancord to $490 from $333, maintaining a buy rating due to increased delivery estimates across 30 countries [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Tesla's shares increased over 30% in September, marking its best month in nearly a year [2] - Compared to legacy automakers, Tesla is outperforming, with General Motors being the only close competitor, while Ford and Toyota show marginal increases and Stellantis has decreased by approximately 33-34% over the past year [3] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The Ford CEO referred to Chinese automakers as the "700 lb gorilla" in the industry, highlighting their innovation and low-cost offerings, suggesting that Tesla, GM, and Ford currently face no real competition from each other [4] - The Chinese market is dominating the global EV landscape, which poses challenges for American EV companies [5] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Upcoming EV sales data is anticipated to impact Tesla's performance, contributing to bullish sentiment and price target increases [6] - The end of the $7,500 EV tax credit raises questions about future sales dynamics and consumer behavior [7] Group 4: Technical Analysis - Tesla's stock has broken a steeper upward trend line, now trading within a more modest channel, with significant price levels identified at around 440 and 463 [8][10] - The stock is currently trading around 443, with potential resistance between 463 and 468, while support is noted around 426 [14] Group 5: Options Activity - Tesla consistently has high options volume, with recent data showing 1.4 million contracts traded, predominantly calls at 66% [15][17] - An expected move of approximately $48, or 10.8%, is projected for the upcoming period, with critical levels identified around 400 and 491 [16][17]