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Commerzbank (OTCPK:CRZB.F) Conference Transcript
2025-11-21 09:02
Summary of Commerzbank Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Commerzbank - **CFO**: Carsten Key Points Strategic Focus - Commerzbank is fully focused and unified in its strategy, which was announced at the beginning of the year, targeting growth and transformation by 2028 [2][3] Economic Outlook - The bank anticipates a **1.2% GDP growth** in Germany for the next year, with **0.8%** of this growth expected to be fueled by the government stimulus package [4][5] Net Interest Income (NII) - Guidance for NII has been increased to **EUR 8.4 billion** for 2026, up from an initial target of **EUR 7.7 billion** at the start of the year [6][9] - The bank expects **EUR 8.2 billion** for the current year, indicating a stable and upward trajectory for NII [9][11] Lending Growth - Corporate lending has shown strong growth at **13% year-on-year**, while mortgage growth is recovering from a depressed market [14][16] - The bank expects continued strong loan growth, particularly in the corporate segment, as stimulus packages take effect [17][19] Deposit Growth - Commerzbank has successfully attracted deposits, collecting **EUR 8 billion** through promotional offers [26] - The bank is guiding for a **43% beta** in Q4, with an average of around **40%** for the year [28] Asset Quality - The bank maintains a stable credit book with no significant concerns, expecting a risk guidance of **25 basis points** by 2028 [52][54] Capital Management - Commerzbank's capital ratio is strong at **14.7%**, with a target of **100% payout ratio** by 2028 [56][57] Fee Income - The bank is targeting a **7% annual growth** in commission income, already running at **7%** this year [38][41] Structural Hedge - The structural hedge is currently at **EUR 147 billion**, with potential to increase based on deposit growth [35] Competition and Market Dynamics - The bank acknowledges a competitive environment for deposits but has a strong depositor base and effective channels for attracting funds [62][63] Future Outlook - Commerzbank is optimistic about the impact of government stimulus on economic activity and its own business growth, particularly in lending and fee income [44][54] Additional Insights - The bank is transforming its branch setup, reducing the number of branches significantly while focusing on advisory services [50] - There is a growing trend in Germany for retail deposit collection to be price-led, but Commerzbank has managed to maintain a relatively high level of customer retention even after promotional rates expire [62][63]