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Corebridge Financial, Inc. (CRBG): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-22 20:26
Core Thesis - Corebridge Financial, Inc. (CRGB) is viewed positively due to its strong market position as a major U.S. provider of life insurance and retirement solutions, with a share price of $32.42 as of October 7th and attractive valuation metrics, including a trailing P/E of 8.64 and a forward P/E of 5.99 [1][2] Business Overview - CRGB was spun out of AIG in 2022 and operates four main business lines: individual retirement (69% of operating income), group retirement (21%), life insurance (13%), and institutional markets (14%) [2] - The company generates income by selling future income streams and death benefits, primarily investing premiums in fixed-income securities, resulting in a net investment income of $12.2 billion on a $400 billion balance sheet in 2024, yielding a spread of approximately 3% [2] Financial Performance - Total premiums amounted to $4.6 billion, with additional fees of $3.0 billion, against policy benefits of $6.6 billion, credited interest of $5.2 billion, and overhead of $2.1 billion, leading to a net income of $2.2 billion and a 10% return on adjusted book value of $22.2 billion [3] - The company has repurchased $1.7 billion of shares, representing about 10% of its current market cap of $17.5 billion, while the stock trades at 8x earnings and 0.88x book value, partly due to residual AIG overhang [3] Capital Management and Strategy - CRGB has transferred $23.8 billion of liabilities to Fortitude Re in Bermuda, which has allowed for increased capital availability for dividends and buybacks while retaining assets managed by Blackstone and BlackRock [4] - The investment portfolio includes $179.7 billion in bonds, $54.3 billion in mortgages and loans, and $22.1 billion in private credit, with plans to scale Blackstone-managed assets to $92.5 billion by 2027, indicating a balance between growth and associated risks [4] Market Sentiment - The bullish sentiment on CRGB is reinforced by its ongoing $2 billion buyback program and favorable demographics, supporting projected long-term EPS growth of 10-15% [3][5] - However, the strategy of increasing exposure to private credit and offshore reinsurance introduces potential leverage, counterparty, and default risks [4][5]