Investment Rating - The report rates HKEX, BOCHK, and BEA as "Buy" with target price adjustments for HKEX from HKD 413 to HKD 438, reflecting positive market conditions and increased activity [5][9][38]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong financial sector is experiencing strong liquidity inflow despite subdued loan demand, with deposits growing 0.6% month-on-month in April and 4.1% year-to-date [2][11]. - The 1-month HIBOR has significantly decreased to approximately 0.6% in late May, which is expected to impact bank revenues and redirect deposits into investments, benefiting HKEX and banks' wealth management businesses [3][16]. - The capital market has seen a substantial increase in activity, with equity market average daily turnover (ADT) rising to HKD 242 billion year-to-date, an 84% increase from 2024, and total IPO funds raised reaching HKD 77 billion, approximately 8 times higher than the same period in 2024 [4][9]. Summary by Sections Liquidity and Loan Demand - Hong Kong sector deposits increased by HKD 706 billion year-to-date 2025, while loan growth was only HKD 49 billion, indicating that deposit growth is primarily driven by external inflows [2][11]. HIBOR Trends - The average 1-month HIBOR in May was 1.72%, significantly lower than the average of 3.82% from January to April 2025, suggesting a potential 10% reduction in BOCHK's earnings with a 100 basis point decline [3][16]. Capital Market Activity - The successful IPOs of companies like CATL and Hengrui, raising HKD 41 billion and HKD 10 billion respectively, are expected to stimulate further listing interests and enhance HKEX's turnover velocity, which is currently at approximately 155% [4][26]. Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for HKEX have been raised by 0.2% for 2025, 2.0% for 2026, and 3.3% for 2027, driven by increased ADT assumptions and listing-related revenues, partially offset by reduced investment income [5][28]. Key Financial Metrics - The report highlights that HKEX's consensus forward PE is 33.8x, slightly above its long-term average of 32.5x, indicating a favorable valuation relative to the market [30][32].