2025年11月28日A股三大指数低开高走，锂矿概念走强，截至13:05，中证稀有金属主题指数强势上涨 2.25%，成分股盛新锂能上涨7.33%，东方钽业上涨6.43%，厦门钨业上涨5.84%，雅化集团、天华新能 等个股跟涨。 中信证券研报称，2025Q3海外锂矿产量环比持平，反映出在前三季度锂价低迷背景下，海外矿企增产 积极性减弱。尽管锂价在2025Q3回暖，但海外矿企反馈缓慢。南美盐湖提锂企业2025Q3经营显著改 善，且对2025Q4展望保持乐观。 该机构预计，在储能电池需求持续强劲的拉动下，锂产业链有望延续去库态势，锂价或超预期上涨，上 调锂价预测区间上限至12万元/吨，建议关注在锂价反弹过程中的低成本标的以及具有资源端增产预期 的公司。 数据显示，截至2025年10月31日，中证稀有金属主题指数前十大权重股分别为北方稀土、洛阳钼业、华 友钴业、盐湖股份、赣锋锂业、天齐锂业、中矿资源、中国稀土、西部超导、厦门钨业，前十大权重股 合计占比60%。 稀有金属ETF（562800）跟踪中证稀有金属主题指数，是布局稀有金属板块的便利工具。 场外投资者还可以通过稀有金属ETF联接基金（014111）关注稀有金属 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium mining sector experienced a strong surge on the 17th, driven by robust investment in energy storage, which is expected to significantly boost lithium battery demand in the coming years [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Tianhua New Energy rose over 15%, while Shengxin Lithium Energy and Jinyuan Co. hit the daily limit, and major mining companies like Zhongjin Resources and Tianqi Lithium approached the limit as well [1] - Ganfeng Lithium increased nearly 8%, indicating a strong market sentiment towards lithium-related stocks [1] Group 2: Industry Growth Drivers - Institutions noted that the domestic energy storage sector is reaching an economic inflection point, with investment being particularly vigorous due to the marketization of new energy and capacity pricing [1] - The cumulative penetration rate of energy storage remains below 10%, prompting an upward revision of the expected new installations in China to 300 GWh for next year [1] Group 3: Demand Forecast - Energy storage is projected to drive lithium demand growth exceeding 30% next year, creating investment opportunities across materials, batteries, and integration sectors [1] - According to the ICC Xinluo Energy Storage Database, global energy storage battery shipments are expected to reach 428 GWh from January to September 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 90.7% [1] Group 4: Supply Chain Insights - The demand for domestic energy storage cells is currently very strong, with leading companies like Haitian Energy and Yiwei Lithium Energy having order backlogs extending to 2026, necessitating some orders to be fulfilled by mid-tier companies [1] - The rapid growth of the energy storage industry is driving high demand for lithium batteries, with recent data showing a 1.5% month-on-month increase in battery production among sample companies [1] - The upstream materials in the lithium battery supply chain, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate, electrolytes, and separators, have seen price increases due to strong downstream demand [1]

机构指出，宁德时代枧下窝锂矿停产等矿山停产的供给端扰动，短期锂价有望抬升，锂矿板块建议关注成本具有优势且资源端存在扩张的标的。 8月11日，锂矿概念大涨，盛新锂能、江特电机、永杉锂业等涨停，中矿资源、赣锋锂业涨7%，西藏矿业、雅化集团等跟涨。 碳酸锂期货所有合约价格大涨，碳酸锂期货主力合约一字涨停。 | 合约名称 | 涨跌幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 碳酸锂主连 | 8.00% | 81000 | | 碳酸锂2606 | 8.00% | 80220 | | 碳酸锂2511ª | 8.00% | 81000 | | 碳酸锂2604 | 7.99% | 80240 | | 碳酸锂2602 | 7.99% | 81380 | | 碳酸锂2509 | 7.99% | 80560 | | 碳酸锂2512 | 7.99% | 81100 | | 碳酸锂2605 | 7.99% | 80300 | | 碳酸锂2601 | 7.98% | 80960 | | 碳酸锂2603 | 7.98% | 80880 | | 碳酸锂2510 | 7.98% | 80920 | | 碳酸锂2607 | 7.98% ...