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PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-29 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $52 million, down from $63 million in Q1 2025, primarily due to seasonally lower harvest volumes and higher forest management costs in the Timberland segment, along with an inventory impairment charge in Wood Products [21][5][6] - Adjusted EBITDA for the Timberlands segment decreased from $42 million in Q1 to $40 million in Q2, with a slight decrease in harvest volumes [22][21] - Adjusted EBITDA for Wood Products dropped from $12 million in Q1 to $2 million in Q2, driven by lower lumber prices and increased processing costs [25][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Wood Products division earned $2 million in adjusted EBITDA during Q2, impacted by lower lumber prices and several nonrecurring items [6][25] - Timberlands harvested 1.86 million tons in Q2, with Idaho's sawlog prices increasing by 9% per ton compared to Q1, while Southern sawlog prices rose by 2% [22][24] - The Real Estate segment produced adjusted EBITDA of $23 million in Q2, matching Q1 results, with 7,500 acres sold at an average price of $3,100 per acre [26][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average total housing starts were just above 1.3 million units in Q2, with single-family starts around 900,000 units, indicating a stable housing market despite economic uncertainty [17][18] - The repair and remodel sector remains subdued, but slight gains in expenditures are forecasted for 2025 and modest growth in 2026 [19][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capital allocation strategies that create long-term value, including maintaining dividends, key capital investments, and opportunistic share repurchases [14][15] - The company anticipates higher lumber prices due to increased duties on Canadian softwood lumber and potential tariffs, which could positively impact domestic lumber prices [11][20] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about long-term fundamentals driving demand in the industry, despite near-term uncertainties [20][18] - The company expects improved results in the Wood Products division in Q3, as challenges faced in Q2 are not anticipated to recur [31][30] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $56 million of its common stock in Q2 at an average price of $39 per share, marking the largest share repurchase volume in a single quarter since becoming a REIT in 2006 [14][15] - The company has $395 million in liquidity, including $95 million in cash, and plans to refinance $100 million of debt maturing in August [27][28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk us through the lumber price forecast? - Management indicated that duties are coming into effect, which will force supply adjustments in the marketplace, leading to a potential increase in prices by September [36][38] Question: Will the unfavorable costs in Wood Products reverse in Q3? - Management confirmed that the challenges faced in Q2, including inventory charges and freight issues, are expected to reverse in Q3, leading to improved earnings [40][41] Question: How does the company view share repurchases amid uncertainty? - Management emphasized the importance of protecting dividends and the balance sheet, while also being aggressive with share repurchases due to the stock trading at a significant discount to NAV [44][48] Question: What is the outlook for solar options and incentives? - Management remains optimistic about solar opportunities, indicating that recent changes in incentives have not significantly impacted their solar projects [58][66] Question: What is the company's stance on Timberland M&A? - Management expressed a desire to be an incremental buyer of Timberland but noted that current prices make it challenging to achieve acceptable returns on investment [92][93]