Logistics Capacity
Search documents
Is Costco's Expanding Big and Bulky Channel Fueling Its Digital Boom?
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 15:06
Core Insights - The expansion of big and bulky merchandise is crucial for Costco's digital business, with a 13% year-over-year increase in deliveries through the Costco Logistics program in Q4 fiscal 2025 [1][8] - Costco's focus on enhancing the delivery experience has led to improved member satisfaction, evidenced by 15 consecutive quarters of rising member experience scores for Costco Logistics deliveries [2] - E-commerce traffic surged by 27% in Q4, driven by strong performance in various categories, contributing to over $27 billion in digitally enabled sales for fiscal 2025 [3][4][8] Financial Performance - Costco's shares have declined by 7.2% over the past year, contrasting with a 0.9% growth in the industry, while Dollar General shares increased by 38.5% and Target shares decreased by 30.5% [5] - The forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio for Costco is 44.65, significantly higher than the industry average of 30.13, indicating a premium valuation compared to Target and Dollar General [6] Sales and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year growth of 7.7% in sales and 11% in earnings per share for the current financial year [9] - Current sales estimates for Costco are projected at $67.15 billion for the current quarter and $296.34 billion for the current year, with expected growth rates of 8.04% and 7.67% respectively [10] - Earnings per share estimates are $4.24 for the current quarter and $19.97 for the current year, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10.99% and 11.01% respectively [11]