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Cameco Rallies 116% in 6 Months: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 15:16
Core Insights - Cameco (CCJ) has experienced a significant stock surge of 115.9% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 27.9%, the Zacks Basic Materials sector's gain of 25.3%, and the S&P 500's rise of 25.3% [1] Financial Performance - Cameco's total revenues for the first half of 2025 increased by 35% year over year to CAD 1,666 million ($1,184 million) [12] - Uranium revenues rose by 27% to CAD 1,324 million ($941 million), driven by a 16% increase in sales volume and a 10% rise in the average realized price in Canadian dollars, despite a 24% decline in U.S. dollar spot prices [12] - Fuel services revenues surged by 56% year over year to CAD 297 million ($211 million), attributed to a 2% increase in average realized price and a 55% increase in sales volume [13] - Adjusted earnings per share soared by 248% year over year to CAD 0.87 ($0.62) in the first half of 2025, bolstered by stronger equity earnings from Cameco's 49% investment in Westinghouse Electric Company [13] Market Expansion - In September, Cameco signed a long-term agreement to supply natural uranium hexafluoride (UF6) to Slovenské elektrárne, marking its entry into the Slovakia market, with the agreement running through 2036 [14] Production Outlook - Cameco revised its production expectations for the McArthur River mine for 2025 to 9.8-10.5 million pounds, down from the previous estimate of 12.6 million pounds, due to development delays [17] - The expected production from the Cigar Lake mine remains at 9.8 million pounds, with the company aiming to offset the McArthur River shortfall [17] - Total uranium production in the first half of 2025 was 10.6 million pounds, reflecting an 18% drop from the previous year [18] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CCJ's 2025 earnings is $1.12 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 128.6%, while the estimate for 2026 is $1.48, implying 31.7% growth [19] Valuation Metrics - Cameco's stock is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 14.93, significantly higher than the industry's 1.46 and above its five-year median of 6.78, indicating a stretched valuation [22] - The company's total debt-to-total capital ratio was 0.13% as of June 30, 2025, compared to peers with lower or no debt [25] Industry Context - The nuclear power sector is experiencing a strong upswing due to global events and increased demand for low-carbon energy, positioning Cameco to capitalize on this trend with its high-quality, low-cost asset base [26] - Cameco continues to invest in increasing production capacity and extending mine life, with plans to boost production at McArthur River and Key Lake from 18 million pounds to a licensed capacity of 25 million pounds [27]
Eni's Renewable Arm Plenitude Attracts Investment Interest From Ares
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 18:21
Group 1 - Eni S.p.A is exploring the sale of a 20% stake in its renewable and retail business Plenitude, engaging in exclusive discussions with Ares Alternative Credit Management [1][2] - The equity value of Plenitude is estimated between 9.8 billion and 10.2 billion euros, with potential to exceed 12 billion euros when considering debt [2] - The sale aligns with Eni's satellite strategy, aimed at developing low-carbon businesses and attracting external investments [3][5] Group 2 - Eni's strategy includes selling small stakes in its business units to support capital expenditures for low-carbon initiatives while retaining investment capacity in upstream projects [3][4] - The interest from Ares highlights the attractiveness of Eni's business model and its growth prospects [4] - Eni has previously executed similar transactions, including a stake sale in Plenitude to Energy Infrastructure Partners and a 30% interest in its biofuel unit Enilive to KKR [5]