2025 has been a strong year for my investments. My primary account has beaten the Nasdaq-100, delivering a 29% return so far this year. My other accounts have tracked closely with the S&P 500, except for my cryptoDecoding markets beyond P/E. As an investor, I either put my money into low cost funds or in single stocks that (I think) are asymmetric bets. My portfolio is roughly 50/50 between the two. I like to write about Macro and Fundamentals, with the (painful) awareness that Momentum and Sentiment are wh ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of Poetiq, an AI startup, which achieved a score of 54% on "Decoding markets beyond P/E" using AI models derived from ChatGPT and Gemini [1] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy outlined emphasizes a balanced portfolio, consisting of approximately 50% low-cost funds and 50% single stocks, focusing on asymmetric bets [1] - The approach to investing is long-term, with a minimum holding period of 10 years for stocks [1] Market Understanding - The article highlights the importance of understanding market dynamics beyond traditional metrics like P/E ratios, viewing markets as a meeting point of demand and supply [1] - Predicting human behavior is deemed crucial for understanding market perceptions of stocks, which involves analyzing sectors, industries, and long-term growth trends [1] Personal Background - The author is based in Geneva, Switzerland, and holds a Master's Degree in Business, indicating a strong educational background in finance [1]

AI has been the main driving force behind the performance of US equities in 2025. Data centers accounted for 92% of GDP growth in the USA, and the NASDAQ 100-Index ( NDX ) outperformed the S&P 500 ( SP500 ) Year-To-Date.Decoding markets beyond P/E. As an investor, I either put my money into low cost funds or in single stocks that (I think) are asymmetric bets. My portfolio is roughly 50/50 between the two. I like to write about Macro and Fundamentals, with the (painful) awareness that Momentum and Sentiment ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics beyond traditional metrics like P/E ratios, focusing on demand and supply as the true drivers of stock prices [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy is split between low-cost funds and individual stocks, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The approach to investing is long-term, with a minimum holding period of 10 years for stocks [1] Group 2: Market Understanding - The market is described as forward-looking, but many investors fail to grasp the implications of this perspective [1] - The focus is on predicting human behavior and understanding market sentiment, which are crucial for making informed investment decisions [1] Group 3: Analytical Approach - The analysis goes beyond numerical data, requiring an understanding of sectors, industries, and long-term growth trends [1] - The approach to investment analysis is characterized by ingenuity, curiosity, and a willingness to go against prevailing trends [1]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics beyond traditional metrics like P/E ratios, focusing on demand and supply as the core of market behavior [1] - The author expresses a bullish outlook on specific companies including AMD, PLTR, TSLA, and broad US equities, as well as Bitcoin, indicating a positive sentiment towards these investments [1] - The approach to investing is characterized by a long-term perspective, with a willingness to hold stocks for at least 10 years, highlighting the significance of macroeconomic and fundamental analysis [1] Group 2 - The article suggests that predicting human behavior is crucial for understanding market movements, indicating that sentiment and momentum play a significant role in investment decisions [1] - The author advocates for a comprehensive understanding of sectors, industries, and long-term growth trends, which requires creativity and a willingness to challenge conventional thinking [1] - The content also mentions the author's background, including a Master's Degree in Business and active engagement in sharing investment insights on social media platforms [1]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics beyond traditional metrics like P/E ratios, focusing on demand and supply as the core of market behavior [1] - The author expresses a bullish outlook on specific companies and sectors, including AMD, PLTR, TSLA, broad US equities, and Bitcoin, indicating a preference for long-term investments [1] Investment Philosophy - The investment strategy is split between low-cost funds and individual stocks, with a balanced portfolio approach [1] - The author highlights the significance of macroeconomic factors and fundamentals while acknowledging the influence of momentum and sentiment in market movements [1] - A long-term holding period of at least 10 years is preferred for stock investments, reflecting a commitment to fundamental analysis [1] Market Understanding - The article suggests that predicting human behavior is crucial for understanding market trends, which requires a deep analysis of sectors, industries, and long-term growth trajectories [1] - The approach to investing is characterized by creativity, curiosity, and a willingness to diverge from mainstream market trends [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company Hims & Hers Health, Inc. is perceived as undervalued by the market, which has led to a bullish outlook on its stock performance [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy involves a balanced portfolio of low-cost funds and individual stocks, with a focus on long-term holding of at least 10 years [1]. - The analyst emphasizes the importance of understanding market behavior beyond numerical valuations, viewing the market as a meeting point of demand and supply [1]. Group 2: Current Position and Performance - The analyst holds a position in Hims valued at approximately $10,000, having previously realized a gain of over 50% on the original investment [3]. - The intention is to maintain the remaining position for the long term, with potential additions during market weaknesses [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (NYSE: HIMS) is perceived as undervalued by the market, which has led to a bullish outlook on its stock performance [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy involves a balanced portfolio of low-cost funds and individual stocks, with a focus on long-term holding of at least 10 years [1]. - The analyst emphasizes the importance of understanding market behavior beyond numerical valuations, viewing the market as a meeting point of demand and supply [1]. Group 2: Current Position and Performance - The analyst holds a position in HIMS valued at approximately $10,000, having previously realized a gain of over 50% on the original investment [3]. - The intention is to maintain the remaining position for the long term, with potential additions during market weaknesses [3].

Core Insights - The investment strategy focuses on a balanced portfolio of low-cost funds and single stocks, with an emphasis on long-term holding and understanding market dynamics beyond just numerical metrics [1]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The company adopts a 50/50 portfolio strategy between low-cost funds and asymmetric single stock bets, indicating a diversified approach to investment [1]. - The investment philosophy emphasizes the importance of understanding market demand and supply, rather than solely relying on traditional metrics like P/E ratios [1]. - The approach requires creativity, curiosity, and a willingness to go against prevailing market trends [1]. Group 2: Current Positions - The company holds a bullish outlook on specific stocks including AMD, PLTR, TSLA, broad US equities, and Bitcoin, suggesting confidence in these assets' future performance [1]. - The company has acquired approximately 500 shares of AMD in the last three months and plans to maintain this position for the foreseeable future, with potential for additional purchases based on upcoming earnings results [3].

Core Viewpoint - The investment strategy focuses on a balanced portfolio between low-cost funds and individual stocks, emphasizing long-term holding and understanding market dynamics beyond mere financial metrics [1] Investment Strategy - The portfolio is approximately 50% in low-cost funds and 50% in single stocks, reflecting a balanced investment approach [1] - The investment philosophy prioritizes holding stocks for at least 10 years, avoiding market timing [1] Market Understanding - The market is viewed as a meeting point of demand and supply, with a focus on predicting human behavior rather than solely relying on financial ratios like P/E [1] - There is an emphasis on understanding what the market perceives in a stock beyond numerical data, which includes analyzing sectors, industries, and long-term growth trends [1] Current Investment Outlook - The company is currently bullish on specific stocks including AMD, PLTR, TSLA, as well as broad US equities and Bitcoin [1]