Market Fragmentation
Search documents
Prediction Markets Hit Record Trading Volume as Fragmentation Concerns Mount
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-19 10:24
Core Insights - Prediction markets have reached a record weekly trading volume of $3.7 billion, with a notional volume of $5.57 billion, indicating a significant increase in event-based trading interest [2][3] - User engagement has surged, with weekly active users peaking at 335,583, and transaction counts also rising [3] - Major industry players, including Coinbase and a Gemini affiliate, are entering the prediction market space, indicating growing institutional interest [8] Trading Activity - The trend of increasing trading volumes began in 2025, surpassing meme coins and NFTs [2] - Three categories dominate the trading volume on platforms like Polymarket, focusing on political events, sports, and crypto-related markets [3] Individual Trader Performance - A notable trader on Polymarket turned a loss of over $6.8 million into a profit of approximately $395,000, showcasing the volatility and potential for recovery in prediction markets [4] - However, not all traders have been successful; two users lost nearly $10 million in less than a month, highlighting the risks involved [6][7] Betting Behavior - The size of bets has increased significantly, with some traders now placing bets exceeding $3 million [5] - The performance of traders varies widely, with some achieving a win rate of around 46% while others experience substantial losses [7]
X @ESMA - EU Securities Markets Regulator 🇪🇺
ESMA - EU Securities Markets Regulator 🇪🇺· 2025-09-17 13:02
🗞️ #ESMA Working Paper | Fragmentation in European Equity Markets since 2019 → https://t.co/4WZ6xL0T4bThe paper analyses how the European equity market structure evolved between 2019 and 2022, focusing on the impact of #Brexit and the role of #MiFIDII/MiFIR legislation. https://t.co/Z7aGPP4ZwP ...