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When Wrong is Actually Right | Jesse Ritka | TEDxFargo
TEDx Talks· 2025-11-04 16:39
Core Message - The speech emphasizes reframing perceived "wrongs" into opportunities for growth and positive outcomes [1][5][6][12] - It encourages challenging negative perceptions and seeking the "right" within the "wrong" [1][12] Career and Personal Growth - A career move perceived as a step backward (relocating to a smaller market) ultimately led to a better work-life balance and professional fulfillment [1][2][6] - The speaker's experience highlights the importance of prioritizing personal values (family) over traditional career advancement [6] - Negative feedback (rude emails) can be a catalyst for developing resilience and a stronger sense of self-worth [1][7] Weather Forecasting and Perception - Despite advancements in forecasting accuracy (5-day forecast is 90% accurate), meteorologists often face criticism for inaccuracies [1][12] - Acknowledges that forecasts can be "wrong" for some while being "right" for others within the forecast area [9][10] - The speaker's wedding day thunderstorm, initially perceived as a disaster, led to unexpected social media engagement and memorable moments [1] Societal and Scientific Perspectives - Historical examples (Jordano Bruno, Galileo) illustrate how ideas initially considered "wrong" can later be proven "right," emphasizing the evolving nature of knowledge [11] - The speech encourages a critical examination of perceived "wrongs" in various aspects of life [12]
Santa Ana winds and how we (don't) track them | Edgar McGregor | TEDxPasadena
TEDx Talks· 2025-10-02 14:52
Wildfire Risk & Santa Ana Winds - The industry highlights the destructive power of Santa Ana windstorms in driving wildfires, emphasizing their unmatched ability to instill fear and cause widespread damage [4] - The report underscores the lack of a standardized scale for measuring Santa Ana windstorms, unlike the scales used for hurricanes and earthquakes, hindering public understanding of the severity of these events [7][8] - The industry proposes the creation of a windstorm scale to better communicate the potential impact of these events to the general public and decision-makers [9] Windstorm Scale & Impact Assessment - The proposed windstorm scale includes a Class 5 event, characterized by 80 mph winds in suburban areas, intended to be as rare as a Category 5 hurricane [11][12] - The industry uses the windstorm scale to analyze past events, noting that the January 2025 windstorm, which caused significant damage, was barely a Class 4 event, highlighting the scale's ability to communicate the intensity of such events [12] - The industry emphasizes the importance of precise language in weather forecasting, noting that vague terms like "strong Santa Ana winds" are insufficient for conveying the true potential for destruction [14] Localized Wind Patterns & Vulnerability - Research indicates that certain neighborhoods are more vulnerable to wind events than others due to localized wind tunnels [21][22] - A map created in April 2024 accurately predicted the burn area of the Eaton fire, demonstrating the ability to identify areas at high risk based on wind patterns [23][24] - The industry suggests that understanding these localized wind patterns can help fire battalion chiefs and other officials make informed decisions about resource allocation and fire containment strategies [26]
How Data and AI are Transforming Weather Prediction | Andrey Sushko | TEDxPaloAltoSalon
TEDx Talks· 2025-07-14 16:54
Weather Forecasting Challenges & Opportunities - Weather forecasts significantly impact daily choices and various critical systems [2] - Current weather data collection is insufficient, with 85% of the planet lacking adequate atmospheric observations [9] - The Pacific Ocean represents a major observational gap, impacting weather forecasts, especially for regions like California [10] - Traditional weather models struggle with the complexity of atmospheric processes at scales smaller than the grid resolution [20][21] Technological Advancements & Solutions - The company utilizes long-duration controllable balloon systems for comprehensive atmospheric monitoring [14][15] - These balloon systems offer access to any point in the sky at a lower cost and environmental impact compared to existing technologies [14] - Deep learning models have emerged as a promising alternative to traditional physics-based weather models, demonstrating remarkable accuracy and efficiency [23][24][26] - Deep learning models offer potential for tailored forecasts for specific applications, such as wind farm output and seasonal agricultural planning [27] Impact & Future Directions - Data collected on oceanic winds during hurricane season in 2022 led to a 20% reduction in trajectory error at the 6-day forecast in US operational weather models [17] - Advances in hardware and AI are driving a transformation in how humanity interacts with weather, enabling easy access to automation and improved decision-making [30]