Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 25, 2025 11:00 AM ET Speaker0Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q2 twenty twenty five Comfort Systems USA Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. You will then hear an automated message advising that your hand is raised.To withdraw your question, please press 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is ...

Core Viewpoint - Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) is expected to report strong second-quarter results on July 24, 2025, following a record-breaking first quarter driven by significant revenue growth and a robust backlog [1][7]. Group 1: Q1 Performance and Expectations - In Q1 2025, Comfort Systems reported earnings per share (EPS) of $4.75, exceeding estimates by 29.8% and showing over 75% year-over-year growth [2]. - Revenue for Q1 reached $1.83 billion, surpassing consensus by 7.5% and reflecting a 19.2% increase year-over-year, with strong contributions from Mechanical (up 18%) and Electrical (up 22%) segments [2]. - The company achieved record earnings and margins during a typically weak seasonal period, with same-store revenue growth of 15% and gross margins expanding to 22% from 19.3% [2]. Group 2: Q2 Estimates and Backlog - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 EPS is $4.68, indicating a 25.1% growth from the previous year, while revenue is estimated at $1.95 billion, reflecting a 7.9% year-over-year increase [4]. - Comfort Systems has a record backlog of $6.9 billion, up 16% year-over-year, providing significant revenue visibility for Q2 and beyond [6]. - Management anticipates high-single-digit same-store revenue growth for the full year, suggesting a more moderate pace of growth in Q2 compared to Q1 [7]. Group 3: Segment Performance and Strategies - The Mechanical segment is expected to maintain elevated margins, supported by high-quality backlog and demand from industrial and institutional markets, particularly in technology-related projects [10]. - Modular construction techniques now account for about 19% of total revenues, enhancing efficiency and reducing seasonality [11]. - The Electrical segment remains strong, with record levels of backlog and no signs of demand slowdown, although it may face material cost inflation [13]. Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - Comfort Systems shares have surged 41.4% in the past three months, outperforming the broader industry and key competitors [16]. - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 26.73, lower than the industry average of 29.43, indicating reasonable valuation despite recent gains [19]. - The company is rated as a hold heading into Q2 earnings, supported by strong fundamentals and a disciplined approach to project execution [21].

Core Insights - Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) reported strong Q1 2025 results with a 75% year-over-year increase in earnings per share to $4.75 and a 19.1% rise in revenues to $1.83 billion, surpassing expectations [1][7] - Despite positive momentum, management maintained a cautious full-year revenue growth forecast of high-single-digit percentages due to challenging year-over-year comparisons in the latter half of the year [2][5] - The company's backlog grew 16.5% year-over-year to $6.89 billion, driven by the acquisition of Century Contractors and increased project bookings in technology and healthcare sectors [4][7] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 earnings per share increased by 75% year-over-year to $4.75, while revenues rose by 19.1% to $1.83 billion, exceeding market expectations [1][7] - Operating income saw a significant increase of 54% year-over-year, contributing to historic high margins [1] - The company's earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have trended upward, with 2025 estimates rising to $19.28, reflecting a 32.1% year-over-year growth [11] Market Position and Valuation - FIX's stock has outperformed peers, with a 51.4% increase over the past three months, compared to 40.5% and 15% gains for Quanta Services and Jacobs Solutions, respectively [6][8] - The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 27.13, which is lower than Quanta Services at 34.66 and Jacobs Solutions at 20.14, indicating a potential attractive entry point for investors [9][10] - The company's strategic initiatives and strong backlog position it favorably in the market, despite maintaining a conservative outlook [5][9] Industry Dynamics - The end-market dynamics are favorable, with strong demand in technology and industrial sectors, which now account for 62% of total volume [2] - Modular construction is emerging as a significant contributor to margin sustainability, further supporting the company's growth prospects [2] - Comfort Systems' ability to manage costs and secure favorable pricing through long-term supplier relationships enhances its resilience against tariff and cost inflation risks [3]