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美国经济 2026:劳动力市场展望-五大值得关注的行业-US Economic Weekly 2026 labor market outlook_ five sectors to watch
2026-02-11 15:40
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Labor Market Outlook for 2026**: The labor market is expected to experience mixed conditions across five key sectors, influenced by tighter immigration policies and economic factors such as trade uncertainty and fiscal stimulus [1][14][53]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Job Growth Projections**: Average job growth is forecasted at 50,000 per month in 2026, with a breakeven job growth rate lowered to approximately 20,000 due to immigration restrictions [15][53]. - **Unemployment Rate**: The unemployment rate is anticipated to stabilize at 4.5% through the first half of 2026, with a slight decrease to 4.3% by year-end [15][53]. - **Sector Performance**: - **Positive Outlook**: - **Education & Health**: This sector is expected to continue driving job growth, adding over 100% of net job gains in 2025, with a projected addition of about 60,000 jobs per month [21][24][26]. - **Construction**: Anticipated recovery due to easing mortgage rates and reduced tariff uncertainty, with a rebound in both residential and non-residential construction [30][31]. - **Trade, Transport & Utilities**: Expected improvement in job growth as import recovery aligns with stronger consumer demand and economic growth [40][41]. - **Negative Outlook**: - **Professional & Business Services**: This sector is facing job losses due to AI adoption, which is automating lower-wage roles while maintaining wage growth for specialized positions [32][34]. - **Neutral Outlook**: - **Leisure & Hospitality**: Job growth is expected to be offset by tighter immigration policies despite potential improvements in consumer demand due to fiscal stimulus [36][38]. Additional Important Insights - **Inflation Trends**: Inflation is projected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target, driven by supply-side pressures from tariffs, with core PCE inflation expected to end 2026 at 2.9% [52]. - **Economic Growth Forecast**: The average GDP growth forecast for 2026 is set at 2.8%, above the consensus of 2.1%, driven by fiscal and monetary policy adjustments [51]. - **Labor Market Risks**: The labor market is facing risks from immigration restrictions and AI-driven job displacement, which could impact job growth and sector stability [53]. Conclusion The labor market outlook for 2026 presents a complex picture with varying sector performances influenced by immigration policies, economic recovery, and technological advancements. The overall sentiment indicates cautious optimism, particularly in sectors like education and health, while challenges persist in professional services due to automation.
新春走基层︱我在工地挺好的!苏州东站冲刺基坑施工“最后一道撑”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 15:37
"因为苏州东站的建设需要,春节期间我们不停工,约有350名工人坚守施工一线。"临近2026年春节,扬子晚报/紫牛新闻记者走进全国首个设计时速350 公里的全地下高铁站——苏州东站,这里正迎来基坑施工中非常关键的"最后一道撑"。 春节假期不停工!全力冲刺"最后一道撑" 苏州东站位于苏州工业园区吴淞湾未来城、桑田科学岛核心区域,是全国首个350公里时速高铁地下站,也是长三角区域首个汇聚高铁、城际铁路、市域 轨道和城市轨道"四网融合"的地下高铁枢纽,预计在2027年通苏嘉甬高铁开通时同步启用。作为苏州重要的区域综合交通枢纽,苏州东站将进一步完善苏 州对外出行交通体系,有力支撑苏州工业园区进一步集聚高端要素、优化资源配置、发挥引领辐射作用,助力苏州更好融入、服务长三角一体化发展。 扬子晚报/紫牛新闻记者走进苏州东站项目2标段的建设工地看到,现场塔吊林立、机械轰鸣,钢筋与模板层层叠起,数辆工程车辆往来穿梭,工人们顶着 寒风紧张作业,现场一派繁忙有序的建设景象。 苏州东站效果图 "目前,苏州东站主要在进行S3区基坑的土方开挖以及S4区的桩基施工,现场有施工作业人员600余人,大小型机械设备共100余套。"中铁建工集团苏州 ...
浙江建投增资至13.2亿
南方财经2月11日电,天眼查App显示,近日,浙江建投(002761)发生工商变更,注册资本由约10.8亿人民币增至约13.2亿人民币,增幅约22%。浙江省建 设投资集团股份有限公司成立于2006年12月,法定代表人为陶关锋,经营范围含建设工程总承包,城乡规划编制服务,工程技术开发,建筑机械制造及设备 租赁,建筑构配件生产、销售,工程技术培训及咨询业务等。股东信息显示,该公司由浙江省国有资本运营有限公司、国新建源股权投资基金(成都)合伙 企业(有限合伙)、工银金融资产投资有限公司等共同持股。 | 分支机构参保人数 | 0 (2024年报) | rneliand C | | --- | --- | --- | | 登记机关 | | 浙江省市场监督管理局 注册地址 ② 浙江省杭州 | | | | 建设工程总承包;建筑工程、人防工程、市政工程、风景园林工程的设计、施工 发;建筑机械制造及设备租赁;建筑构配件生产、销售;机电设备、五金工具、 | | 经营范围 ② | | 的批发及进出口业务;工程技术培训及咨询业务(不含营利性职业资格及职业技能 | | | | 的项目,经相关部门批准后方可开展经营活动) | | | | ...
Boise Cascade Company Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Webcast and Conference Call
Businesswire· 2026-02-10 21:15
Boise Cascade Company Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Webcast and Conference CallFeb 10, 2026 4:15 PM Eastern Standard Time# Boise Cascade Company Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Webcast and Conference CallShare---BOISE, Idaho--([BUSINESS WIRE])--Boise Cascade Company (NYSE: BCC) will host a webcast and conference call to discuss 2025 fourth quarter and full year earnings on Tuesday, February 24, 2026, at 11 a.m. Eastern.To join the webcast, go to the Investors section of our website a ...
60% of Gen Zers will pursue skilled trade work this year: survey
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-10 11:43
This story was originally published on Facilities Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily Facilities Dive newsletter. Young workers and even college graduates are looking at skilled trades more than white collar work this year in a search for stability and solid pay, a survey by a resume-assistance company shows.  Six in 10 Gen Zers plan to pursue jobs in construction, electrical, HVAC, plumbing, building maintenance and manufacturing, among other trades, according to the sur ...
VINCI: Publication of audited consolidated financial statements at 31 December 2025
Globenewswire· 2026-02-09 20:00
Nanterre, 9th February 2026 Publication of audited consolidated financial statements at 31 December 2025 VINCI announces the publication of its consolidated financial statements at 31 December 2025 (financial statements and notes) accompanied by the report of the statutory auditors on the consolidated financial statements. The audited consolidated statements at 31 December 2025 and the report on the financial statements for 2025 are available in English and French on the Group’s website: https://www.vinci ...
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE:SSD) Overview and Analyst Insights
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-09 02:00
The consensus price target for NYSE:SSD has remained stable at $190 over the past month and quarter, indicating a slight adjustment in analysts' expectations.Simpson Manufacturing's Q3 2025 earnings call highlighted a positive outlook from analysts, with a price target of $120 set by D.A. Davidson.Comparative financial growth in the technology sector, as seen with Silicon Motion, underscores the diverse success rates across industries, including construction and technology.Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (N ...
每日债市速递 | 央行14天逆回购呵护跨节流动性
Wind万得· 2026-02-08 22:43
1. 公开市场操作 央行2月6日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了315亿元7天期逆回购操作,操作利率1.40%,投标量315亿元,中标量315亿元。同时,以固定数量、利率招 标、多重价位中标方式开展了3000亿元14天期逆回购操作。Wind数据显示,当日4775亿元逆回购到期,据此计算,单日净回笼1460亿元。值得注意的 是,央行连续两日进行14天期逆回购操作,金额总计6000亿元,呵护春节资金面。 2. 资金面 (*数据来源:Wind-央行动态PBOC) 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单二级市场上最新成交在1.590%附近。 (IMM) 银行间市场资金面更为宽松,DR001加权平均利率降超4bp至1.27%附近。匿名点击(X-repo)系统上,隔夜报价降至1.25%供给充足;非银机构以信用债 为抵押融入隔夜,报价在1.5%下方。 海外方面,最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为3.65%。 // 债市综述 // (*数据来源:Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏) 3. 同业存单 (*数据来源:Wind-同业存单-发行结果) 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率多数下跌 | | 1Y | 2Y | ЗУ | 54 | 7 ...
The U.S. construction industry’s need for labor is soaring and will need half a million new workers next year while AI giants ramp up spending
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-07 20:56
Recent data on the U.S. job market has flashed some worrying signs lately, but the construction industry sees greater demand for workers. The Associated Builders and Contractors trade group estimated in a report last month the industry will need to bring in 456,000 new workers in 2027, up 30.7% from the 349,000 needed this year. “Failing to do so will worsen labor shortages, especially in certain occupations and regions, placing further upward pressure on labor costs,” ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu ...
Apple, GE Aerospace Lead Five Stocks Flashing Buy Signals
Investors· 2026-02-07 13:00
Apple Stock, GE Aerospace Lead Five Stocks Flashing Buy Signals | Investor's Business DailyBREAKING: [Dow Jones Tops 50,000, But Nasdaq Below Key Level]---Apple (AAPL) and GE Aerospace (GE) headline five stocks to watch triggering buy signals. Apple remained immune to the fallout from the recent tech sell-off. Data center builder Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) took a hit midweek, but surged Friday above an early entry and toward a breakout. Meanwhile, fellow builder Toll Brothers (TOL) is poised to reap the ...