The UK’s financial regulator is weighing a series of reforms for the country’s mortgage market https://t.co/1apw0QR4w4 ...

Group 1: Glencore's Copper Business Expansion - Glencore aims to exceed 1 million tonnes of annual base copper production by the end of 2028, with a target of approximately 1.6 million tonnes by 2035 [2][9] - The company plans to restart the Alumbrera copper mine in Argentina in Q4 2026, with first production expected shortly thereafter [2][9] - Glencore anticipates a 4% annual compound growth rate in copper equivalent production from 2026 to 2029 [2][9] Group 2: Macy's Q3 Performance - Macy's reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.09, significantly beating the estimated loss of $0.14 [3][9] - Total revenue reached $4.91 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $4.75 billion, driven by net sales of $4.71 billion [3][9] - Despite strong Q3 results, Macy's provided a cautious full-year outlook, projecting adjusted EPS between $2.00 and $2.20, below the estimated $2.37 [3][9] Group 3: Dollar Tree's Q3 Earnings - Dollar Tree reported adjusted EPS of $1.21, outperforming the $1.07 estimate, on revenue of $4.75 billion, slightly above the forecast of $4.7 billion [4][9] - The company expects full-year net sales between $19.35 billion and $19.45 billion and adjusted EPS in the range of $5.60 to $5.80 [4][9] - Dollar Tree's Q4 outlook includes comparable store net sales growth of 4.0% to 6.0% and adjusted EPS from continuing operations of $2.40 to $2.60 [4][9] Group 4: US Mortgage Market Update - The US Mortgage Bankers Association reported a 1.4% decrease in mortgage applications week-over-week as of November 28 [5][9] - The 30-year mortgage rate decreased slightly to 6.32% from the previous 6.40% [5][9] Group 5: National Bank of Canada Q4 Earnings - National Bank of Canada announced adjusted EPS of C$2.82, surpassing the estimated C$2.63 [6] - The bank reported adjusted revenue of C$3.70 billion, exceeding the C$3.45 billion estimate [6] - The quarterly dividend was raised by C$0.06 to C$1.24 per share [6]

With Wall Street fretting about other corners of American finance, the mortgage market might seem like a sign of healthy restraint. In fact, it masks an insidious crisis https://t.co/tRjPw5cmhd ...

The American mortgage market is shrinking. Many families are being needlessly locked out of homeownership. Now is the time to correct past mistakes https://t.co/IJfwVvbPcwIllustration: Ben Hickey https://t.co/9t5rg6HHK5 ...

The American mortgage market is shrinking. Many families are being needlessly locked out of homeownership. Now is the time to correct past mistakes https://t.co/IJfwVvbPcwIllustration: Ben Hickey https://t.co/MB7rBkBRE6 ...

The American mortgage market is shrinking. Many families are being needlessly locked out of homeownership. Now is the time to correct past mistakes https://t.co/jze8ZI0ZHb ...

Core Insights - Experian is offering free access to VantageScore 4.0 for lenders, aiming to redefine the mortgage market [1] Group 1: Company Initiatives - The introduction of free VantageScore 4.0 is expected to enhance lenders' ability to assess creditworthiness [1] - This initiative is part of Experian's strategy to improve transparency and accessibility in the mortgage lending process [1] Group 2: Industry Impact - The move is anticipated to disrupt traditional credit scoring models, potentially leading to more competitive mortgage rates [1] - By providing free access to VantageScore 4.0, Experian aims to foster a more inclusive lending environment [1]

Core Thesis - UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC) is positioned as a dominant player in the wholesale mortgage market, leveraging pricing power and strong broker relationships to maintain market share and investor interest [2][5][6] Company Overview - UWMC's stock was trading at $6.57 as of September 18th, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 168.00 and 16.67 respectively [1] - The company has a resilient balance sheet and ample access to capital markets, prioritizing dividends over buybacks to enhance shareholder returns [3] Market Position - UWMC has maintained broker loyalty through consistent price undercutting, creating a durable competitive moat as the wholesale channel continues to gain share from retail [2] - Despite competition from rivals like Rocket, UWMC's cost discipline and strong relationships with brokers position it favorably in the market [2] Financial Performance - The company generates solid free cash flow even in a higher-rate environment, with a dividend yield exceeding 6%, attracting income-oriented investors [3] - Since the bullish thesis was published, UWMC's stock price has appreciated approximately 49.08%, driven by easing rates and broker-led share gains [6] Market Sentiment - Market perception remains cautious, with limited sell-side coverage and consensus ratings clustering at "Hold" due to skepticism about the industry's cyclicality and governance structure [4] - Institutional ownership is low, and elevated short interest reflects bearish sentiment and pair trades [4] Future Outlook - With mortgage rates expected to ease as the Federal Reserve pivots, UWMC presents an asymmetric investment opportunity characterized by a high-yield, dominant franchise that is currently undervalued [5] - Potential catalysts for growth include rate cuts, housing market recovery, and possible short covering, which could lead to a significant re-rating of the stock [5]

Group 1 - Sensor Unlimited is part of the investing group Envision Early Retirement, which focuses on generating high income and growth with isolated risks through dynamic asset allocation [2] - The group offers two model portfolios: one for short-term survival/withdrawal and another for aggressive long-term growth, along with direct access for discussions, monthly updates, and tax discussions [2] - Sensor Unlimited has a PhD in financial economics and has spent the last decade covering the mortgage market, commercial market, and banking industry, with a focus on asset allocation and ETFs [3] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of proven solutions in investment strategies to mitigate risks while aiming for high returns [2] - It highlights the role of quantitative modeling in understanding market dynamics and making informed investment decisions [3]

Group 1 - The article discusses Nike stock (NYSE: NKE) and its potential impact from the upcoming Paris Olympics, suggesting it could be a turning point for the company [1] - The previous coverage of Nike stock was over a year ago, indicating a long-term interest in the company's performance [1] Group 2 - Sensor Unlimited, an economist with a PhD, has a decade of experience in covering the mortgage market, commercial market, and banking industry, focusing on asset allocation and ETFs [2]