Core Viewpoint - Agree Realty (ADC) has significant capacity for growth but is currently not utilizing it fully, raising questions about management's strategy and market conditions. Financial Metrics - Pro forma net debt-to-recurring EBITDA stands at 3.5x, which includes unsettled forward equity offerings; excluding these, the figure is 5.1x, still within investment-grade net lease REIT standards [2] - AFFO payout ratio is approximately 70%, indicating that ADC retains more internal capital compared to peers with payout ratios in the mid-70s to low-80s [3][4] Earnings Performance - AFFO per share for Q3 2025 was $1.10, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.2%; full-year 2025 guidance has been raised to $4.31–$4.33, suggesting a growth of 4.4% at the midpoint [4] - ADC deployed $1.55 billion in 2025, but the 2026 investment guidance is lower at $1.25–$1.50 billion, indicating a potential pullback in investment activity [6][7] Credit Ratings - Fitch assigned ADC an A- issuer rating with a stable outlook, citing superior tenant credit quality and sector-leading access to capital; Moody's rates it Baa1, and S&P Global Ratings upgraded it to BBB+ [5][6] Tenant Quality - Approximately 66.8% of ADC's annualized base rent comes from investment-grade tenants, with a potential shift in this percentage serving as an indicator of underwriting philosophy [11] Future Indicators - Key signals to watch for changes in management behavior include 2026 AFFO guidance relative to consensus, ex-forward leverage compression, and shifts in the investment-grade tenant mix [8][9][10]