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外汇交易员· 2025-10-03 12:33
Economic Data Release - US September non-farm payroll data release was delayed due to the US government shutdown [1] - The US Bureau of Labor Statistics suspended all operations and economic data releases during the government shutdown [1]
Private payrolls declined in September by 32,000 — the biggest drop in 2.5 years
CNBC Television· 2025-10-01 13:36
Employment Data Analysis - ADP reports a significant downward revision in job market growth, impacting September's figures [2] - September's non-farm payroll is reported at negative 32,000, significantly lower than the estimated 45,000 [1] - Without revisions, September's figures would have been a positive 11,000 [3] Sector Performance - Small businesses show a decline of 40,000 jobs, while medium businesses are down 20,000 [3] - Large businesses continue hiring, adding 33,000 jobs [3] - Education and health services lead with an increase of 33,000 jobs [3] - Natural resources and mining show an increase of 4,000 jobs [3] - Leisure and hospitality experience a decrease of 19,000 jobs [4] Wage Trends - Job stayers see a wage increase of 45% [4] - Job changers experience a wage increase of 66%, a decrease from August's 71%, particularly in leisure and hospitality and financial activities [4]
Consumer sentiment 61.7 vs 61.8 estimated
CNBC Television· 2025-08-01 14:43
Economic Indicators - June construction spending decreased by 04% [2] - Manufacturing ISM headline number is 480%, marking the fifth consecutive month in contraction territory [1][2] - Prices paid decreased to 648%, the lowest since February [2] - New orders are light at 471%, remaining under 50% for the fifth consecutive month [2][3] - Employment comes in at 434%, well below expectations [3] Consumer Sentiment - University of Michigan sentiment final read shows a slight decrease from 618 to 617 [3] - Current conditions improved from 668% to 680%, the second-best reading of the year [4] - Expectations decreased from 586% to 577%, the weakest level since March [5] - One-year inflation expectation increased from 44% to 45%, while the 5 to 10-year inflation expectation decreased from 36% to 34%, the second-lowest reading of the year [5] Employment Data - May non-farm payroll was revised from 144000 to 19000, and June was 147000, resulting in a combined minus 258000 [6]