Non-tariff barriers

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Mobius Sees Promise in Japan, India, Taiwan Markets
Bloomberg Television· 2025-08-04 16:23
Investment Strategy & Market Outlook - Initially holding 95% in cash, the portfolio is now 50% cash due to high market valuations [1][3] - Cash is considered "king" currently, with plans for aggressive buying during market corrections [2] - Holding cash provides a 4-5% interest rate from U S Treasuries, making it a safe and attractive option [3] - Emerging markets are showing promise, keeping pace with the US market in the last year [3][4] - Trade negotiations are expected to conclude in the next 4-5 months, potentially boosting emerging markets [4] Regional Investment Opportunities - Japan presents opportunities with good earnings, low price-earnings ratios, and growth, despite the Bank of Japan's policy rate of about 0 5% and inflation around 2 7% [5] - India and Taiwan are also promising markets, despite facing high tariffs from the US administration [6] - India's self-contained market and trade restrictions mitigate the impact of tariffs [7][8] - Consumer companies, airlines, and telecoms (e g Bharti Airtel) in India are attractive investment sectors [9] Risks & Uncertainties - Tariffs have negatively impacted market sentiment, raising concerns about higher inflation and poor earnings for import/export-dependent companies [14] - The ultimate impact of tariffs remains uncertain, with potential legal challenges in US federal courts [15] - Competition in the tech sector, particularly in AI, poses a significant risk to tech investments [25][26]
Treasury's Faulkender: Vietnam trade deal a huge win for the American farmer
CNBC Television· 2025-07-02 18:41
Trade Negotiations & Agreements - The US is pursuing bilateral trade deals instead of multilateral ones, marking a new approach to global trade [6][7] - A trade deal with Vietnam is imminent and is considered a significant win for American farmers and manufacturers, incentivizing domestic production over routing through China [2][3] - The Vietnam deal opens up the Vietnamese market in unprecedented ways [2] - Negotiations with Japan are ongoing, with anticipated announcements before July 9th, indicating progress in trade relations [5] - The US is seeking reciprocity in trade, addressing non-tariff barriers that hinder access for US manufacturers and farmers to foreign markets [9] - The willingness of countries to lower non-tariff barriers influences the US's tariff considerations [10] Tariffs & Trade Policy - The US may impose tariffs on countries that do not present trade deals facilitating negotiations [13][14] - The specific details of export rates with Vietnam will be released in an upcoming statement [4] China Trade Relations - Negotiations with China continue regarding the framework established in Geneva and the UK [11] - The US is urging China to accelerate access to rare earth magnets, as agreed upon in previous negotiations [11]