Nuclear revival
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Is Cameco the Smartest Investment You Can Make Today?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-17 17:01
Industry Overview - The nuclear energy sector is experiencing a revival, driven by increasing energy demands from artificial intelligence data centers and the electrification of manufacturing [1][3] - The U.S. government has set a target to expand nuclear capacity from 100 GW to 400 GW by 2050, with a recent $2.7 billion investment to rebuild the domestic uranium enrichment industry [2] Company Profile: Cameco - Cameco is the second-largest uranium producer globally, primarily supplying uranium to Western markets, and is well-positioned to reduce dependence on Russian and Kazakh uranium [4][15] - The company has significant investments in high-grade uranium mines, including McArthur River and Cigar Lake, and holds a 40% stake in the Inkai joint venture in Kazakhstan [6] Business Strategy - Cameco sells uranium primarily under long-term contracts, ensuring earnings stability, and occasionally purchases uranium on the spot market [7] - The company has commitments to deliver an average of about 28 million pounds of uranium per year from 2025 through 2029, benefiting from rising uranium prices as 60% to 70% of its contracts are market-linked [8] Growth Opportunities - Cameco's 49% stake in Westinghouse provides exposure across the nuclear value chain, enhancing its growth potential beyond spot uranium prices [9] - Westinghouse is a leader in nuclear technology, with its AP1000 reactor being the only Generation III+ reactor using fully passive safety systems, which has received U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission certification [10][11] Strategic Agreements - In October, Cameco, Brookfield, and Westinghouse entered into an $80 billion agreement with the U.S. government to construct at least eight new reactors, including the AP1000 and the small modular reactor AP300 [12] - The agreement includes a profit-sharing mechanism for the U.S. government, entitled to 20% of cash distributions by Westinghouse exceeding a cumulative total of $17.5 billion [13] Financial Outlook - Cameco stock has a high forward price-to-earnings ratio of 72.4 times projected 2026 earnings, but analysts project earnings-per-share growth of 48% this year and another 33% in 2027 [14] - The company is positioned for significant upside in the nuclear renaissance, making it a top stock for investors bullish on the long-term future of nuclear energy [15]