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Venezuela has a long road back to oil production of a million barrels a day, says RBC's Helima Croft
CNBC Television· 2025-11-13 22:08
Venezuela Oil Sector & US Involvement - US military buildup off the coast of Venezuela raises questions about potential regime change or negotiation for Maduro's exit [1][2] - Chevron is the biggest American operator in Venezuela, highlighting US interest in the country's oil reserves [4] - Potential scenarios include a negotiated exit for Maduro, a Noriega-style extraction, or a Seal Team Six operation [2] Venezuelan Oil Production & Recovery - Venezuela's oil production has declined significantly from its peak of 4 million barrels a day to around 500,000 barrels a day [1][5] - Rebuilding Venezuela's oil infrastructure after Maduro's removal is seen as a way to reduce reliance on Iranian and Russian oil [5][6] - Degradation of PDVSA, infrastructure issues, and massive debt pose significant challenges to a quick recovery of Venezuela's oil sector [6][7] - Sanctions relief might yield a couple hundred thousand barrels, but a return to million-barrel-a-day gains is a long-term prospect [9] Global Oil Market & Investment - Oil prices are up slightly but still below $60, influencing the performance of oil and gas stocks [10] - Lack of investment in the oil sector suggests a potential bottoming out of oil prices in the longer term [11] - Sanctions on key Russian oil exporters, Rosneft and Lukoil, are scheduled to take effect on November 21st [12] - Spare capacity in the oil market is a key factor to watch, especially with potential US military operations in Venezuela [12]
X @The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal· 2025-11-02 17:17
OPEC and allies agree to boost oil production, then pause https://t.co/JajkXAES5T ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-31 17:01
US oil production climbed to a fresh record near 13.8 million barrels a day in August, according to a monthly government report. https://t.co/EfKcHOKRgb ...
Expect OPEC+ to adopt a 'watch and wait' to see U.S. sanction impact on Russian oil: Helima Croft
CNBC Television· 2025-10-31 12:33
OPEC+ Production & Market Outlook - OPEC+ 预计将在本周日会议上讨论产量水平,可能小幅增产,12 月份预计将增加 137,000 桶/日 [1][2] - 行业分析师认为,OPEC+ 实际产量可能低于预期,因为多数成员国已接近产能上限,仅沙特阿拉伯有较大剩余产能 [2] - 市场关注沙特阿拉伯可能释放 7 万至 8 万桶/日的产量,以及阿联酋的小幅增产,可能对市场情绪产生影响 [3] - 行业普遍认为,油价自年初以来已下跌约 16%,目前在 60 美元/桶左右 [1] Sanctions & Geopolitical Risks - 美国对俄罗斯石油生产商的制裁执行力度,以及委内瑞拉的军事集结,将影响 OPEC+ 的决策 [3][7] - 2018 年美国退出伊朗核协议后,OPEC 曾被要求增产,但随后美国对伊朗石油进口实施豁免,导致油价下跌,因此 OPEC 在本次决策中将采取观望态度 [4][5] - G7 能源部长会议在多伦多举行,重点讨论乌克兰问题,以及加强对俄罗斯的制裁 [6] - 美国在委内瑞拉海岸的军事集结,以及针对小型船只的行动,引发了对美国是否寻求对马杜罗政府进行政权更迭的担忧 [7][8] Demand & Supply Uncertainties - 埃克森美孚和雪佛龙的负责人认为油价可能会下跌 [8] - 行业分析师指出,明年第一季度可能出现供应过剩,圭亚那等国的产量增加 [10] - 沙特阿美认为需求强劲,中国战略石油储备的购买量对需求有重要影响 [10][11] - 如果美国严格执行对俄罗斯石油公司的制裁,可能导致俄罗斯石油供应中断,可能涉及 1 百万至 1.5 百万桶/日 [12][13]
How Chevron Got Caught in the Clash Between the U.S. and Venezuela
WSJ· 2025-10-31 09:30
Core Viewpoint - Chief Executive Mike Wirth has led a long-term initiative to maintain oil production in a Latin American country [1] Group 1 - The campaign orchestrated by the CEO aims to ensure the country's oil production remains viable over the years [1]
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Bloomberg· 2025-10-30 06:46
Saudi Arabia’s economy expanded at the fastest pace since early 2023 in the third quarter, helped by rising oil production and big state investments in non-sectors sectors https://t.co/EVJmSA7Wmi ...
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Bloomberg· 2025-10-27 17:00
OPEC+ is currently expected to focus on reviving another modest sliver of oil production in December as a base case when key members meet this weekend, two delegates say https://t.co/f2zo3lYpw9 ...
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Bloomberg· 2025-10-23 17:30
Kuwait’s oil minister said that OPEC is prepared to increase production if demand requires it. The assurance comes as new US sanctions on Russia sent prices rallying https://t.co/pPLjxEMa9w ...
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Bloomberg· 2025-10-23 03:40
Surging US oil production is echoed by booming demand, which is poised to set a record this year, writes @JavierBlas #OOTT (via @opinion) https://t.co/6AC4Ok4kJT ...
US Oil Rig Count Stalls While Output Breaks New Record
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-17 17:08
Core Insights - The total number of active drilling rigs in the United States increased to 548, although this is a decrease of 37 rigs compared to the same time last year [1] - The number of active oil rigs remained unchanged at 418, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 64 rigs, while gas rigs increased by 1 to 121, which is 22 more than last year [2] - Despite a slowdown in drilling activity, U.S. crude oil production rose to 13.636 million barrels per day (bpd), marking the highest average weekly production ever [3] - The active drilling rig count in the Permian Basin rose by 1 to 251, which is still 53 rigs below last year's levels [4] Industry Performance - The WTI benchmark price fell by $0.05 per barrel (-0.09%) to $57.41, which is $1.50 lower than the previous week [4] - The Brent benchmark price remained stable at $61.06 on the same day [4]