Group 1 - The optical communication sector is experiencing strong performance, with companies like Huiju Technology (01729) up by 13.44% to HKD 18.29, Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) up by 11.01% to HKD 57.45, Cambridge Technology (06166) up by 4.99% to HKD 85.2, and Huahong Semiconductor (01347) up by 3.54% to HKD 70.15 [1] - Researchers from Shanghai Jiao Tong University have made a breakthrough in the next-generation optical computing chip field, achieving the first all-optical computing chip, LightGen, which supports large-scale semantic media generation models. The chip demonstrates a two-order-of-magnitude improvement in computing power and energy efficiency compared to top digital chips, even with less advanced input devices [1] - According to Zhongyuan Securities, China's optical communication industry chain and value chain are gradually transitioning from low-end to high-end, indicating long-term prosperity. The research and expansion cycle for optical chips is lengthy with high barriers, leading domestic and foreign manufacturers to accelerate capacity expansion and process upgrades [1] - Guotou Securities reports that the demand for AI computing power continues to expand, sustaining the upward trend in the optical module industry, which presents opportunities for all segments of the industry chain [1]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **optical networking industry** in China, specifically companies **Innolight**, **Eoptolink**, and **TFC Optical**. - The industry is expected to experience significant growth driven by **800G technology** and the **pull-in of 1.6T orders**. Key Financial Expectations - **Revenue Growth**: Anticipated revenue growth of approximately **25%-30%** for 3Q25, primarily due to strong demand for **800G** products and increased orders for **1.6T** technology [1][2]. - **Innolight**: Expected to report **Rmb10.5 billion** in revenue and **Rmb3.3 billion** in net profit for 3Q25, reflecting **29%** revenue growth and **37%** net profit growth quarter-over-quarter [1]. - **Eoptolink**: Projected to achieve **Rmb8.3 billion** in revenue and **Rmb3.1 billion** in net profit, indicating **30%** revenue growth and **31%** net profit growth quarter-over-quarter [1]. - **TFC Optical**: Expected to report revenue of **Rmb700 million**, with performance likely in line with expectations due to constraints in **200G EML** despite strong demand for **1.6T** orders [1]. Long-Term Industry Outlook - The long-term outlook for the optical transceiver market remains positive, with improved demand visibility for **FY26-27**. The industry demand is projected to grow by approximately **43% YoY** in FY27, driven by robust demand from **Cloud Service Providers (CSPs)** and advancements in **ASIC technology** [1][2]. Valuation and Target Prices - **Eoptolink**: Target price set at **Rmb472**, based on a **24.0x FY26E** forward PE, reflecting the strong cycle of **800G/1.6T** products [7]. - **Innolight**: Target price established at **Rmb569**, based on a **25x FY26E** forward PE, factoring in margin improvements from higher **SiPh transceiver** sales [9]. - **TFC Optical**: Target price of **Rmb196**, based on a **36.0x FY26E** PE, considering the strength of **1.6T** products and new customer contributions [11]. Risks to Consider - **General Risks**: - Slower-than-expected investments in data centers [8][10][12]. - Lower-than-expected capital expenditures on optical networks by telecommunications companies and government entities in China [8][10][12]. - Margin pressures due to price competition [8][10][12]. - Potential impacts from escalating **China-US tech disputes** [8][10][12]. Conclusion - The optical networking industry in China is poised for significant growth in the upcoming quarters, with key players like Innolight and Eoptolink expected to outperform market expectations. The long-term outlook remains constructive, supported by technological advancements and increasing demand from CSPs. However, investors should remain cautious of potential risks that could impact growth trajectories.