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Analyst Says Costco (COST) ‘Story Could Work’ Under These Conditions
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-16 08:20
Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST) is experiencing specific challenges despite a generally stable US consumer environment, with analysts noting a deceleration in same-store sales growth from 8% to approximately 6% in the latest quarter [1][2] - The company is facing elevated operating expenses, which are expected to remain in double digits, impacting profitability and limiting earnings growth potential [1] - Costco's current valuation at 54 times earnings is considered excessive given its mid-single-digit growth rate, leading to concerns about a potential reassessment of its premium valuation by the market [2] Group 1: Analyst Commentary - David Bellinger from Mizuho Securities highlighted that while the US consumer is doing well, Costco's issues are company-specific, indicating a mini investment cycle affecting its performance [1] - The same-store sales growth of 6% in the US and 6.5% globally is viewed as insufficient for Costco, especially in light of its high valuation [1] - The need for the non-foods business to accelerate is emphasized as a critical factor for future earnings revisions and overall performance improvement [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Patient Capital Opportunity Equity Strategy initiated an options position in Costco, indicating a bearish outlook on the stock due to its high valuation relative to growth [2] - The firm argues that Costco's status as an "overpriced compounder" makes it a prime candidate for market reassessment, which could lead to significant downside risk [2] - The expectation is that the market will eventually reevaluate Costco's fundamentals, potentially resulting in a decline from its current all-time high multiple [2]